Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD EDP Sciences
Résumé : Cette communication présente les principaux résultats du projet ExtraFlo sur l'estimation des pluies et crues extrêmes. A partir d'un jeu de données conséquent de plusieurs milliers de stations, une procédure d'inter-comparaison a permis d'évaluer les performances d'une trentaine d'implémentations différentes issues de différentes combinaisons (modèle probabiliste, méthode d'estimation, cadre local / régional / mixte local et régional). Le projet ExtraFlo a permis de mettre en évidence le manque de robustesse des approches basées sur le traitement statistique d'une série de quelques dizaines d'années d'observation. Des alternatives intéressantes existent, basées sur l'exploitation des records de pluie et de débit à l'échelle d'une région, de la collecte de données historiques quand cela est possible, de méthodes de simulation basées sur le couplage d'un générateur d'averses avec un modèle hydrologique pour la transformation des pluies en débit, ou des traces morphologiques laissées par les crues anciennes.
ISSN: 0018-6368

hal-01054313
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01054313
DOI : 10.1051/1hb/2014010

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : poster presentation, 22nd European Meeting on Hypertension and Cardiovascular protection, London,26-29 April 2012
OBJECTIVE: Several studies demonstrate that the perception of overweight is associated with attempts at weight control in overweight subjects. Our objective is to describe the factors associated with the perception of overweight in an adult Caribbean population, and in particular, to assess the relationship between the perception of overweight and previous medical diagnosis of overweight. METHOD AND DESIGN: Consant was a cross-sectional study carried out in 2007 on a representative sample of the adult Guadeloupean population. Included were 1,005 subjects aged 25-74 years, drawn from stratified random sampling, and interviewed at home. The perception of overweight was evaluated by the question: "Do you consider yourself to be overweight?" with a binary response. RESULTS: Among overweight subjects (Body Mass Index ≥ 25 kg/m2, n = 576), 38.6% provided an incorrect assessment of their weight status. This proportion falls to 17.4% in those who stated to have previously received a medical diagnosis of overweight. However, only 48.8% of overweight subjects stated to have received such a diagnosis. A logistic regression shows that the underestimation of weight status is associated with the absence of previous diagnosis for overweight (OR: 5.35 - p < 10-3), as well as an age greater than or equal to 55 years (OR: 2.91 - p < 10-3), a BMI of less than 30 kg/m² (OR: 2.26 - p: 0.001), the male sex (OR: 1.86 - p: 0.004), and a low income level (OR: 1.62 - p: 0.030), but not a lack of awareness regarding the role of weight control in the prevention of cardiovascular diseases. Similar results are observed if waist circumference is taken as a factor instead of BMI. CONCLUSION: In this population, the lack of medical diagnosis of overweight was the leading factor associated with misperception of overweight. Screening for overweight therefore appears to be one of the preconditions to weight management, and remains a fundamental but often unused element in the fight against obesity.
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-00739785

Droits : info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
hal-00739785
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-00739785
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-00739785/document
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-00739785/file/The_lacksur screening_is_the_leading_factor_associated_with_the_misperceptionsur overweight_cor.pdf