Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : 32 pages
Wind energy production is very sensitive to instantaneous wind speed fluctuations. Thus rapid variation of wind speed due to changes in the local meteorological conditions can lead to electrical power variations of the order of the nominal power output. In small grids, as they exist for example on some islands in the French West Indies, such fluctuations can cause instabilities in case of intermediate power shortages. To palliate these difficulties, it is essential to identify and characterize the wind speed distributions. This allows to anticipate the eventuality of power shortage or power surge. Therefore, it is of interest to categorize wind speed fluctuations into distinct classes and to estimate the probability of a distribution to belong to a class. This paper presents a method for classifying wind speed histograms by estimating a finite mixture of Dirichlet distributions. The SAEM algorithm that we use provides a fine distinction between wind speed distribution classes. It's a new nonparametric method for wind speed sequences classification. However, we show that the wind speed distributions in each class correspond to specific Gram- Charlier densities.
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00319608

hal-00319608
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00319608
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00319608v2/document
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00319608/file/Article_dirichlet.pdf
ARXIV : 0810.4422

Éditeur(s) : J. Stockdale J. Stockdale ( London )
Résumé : Kalinago (Carib) Indians migrated from South America into the Windward Islands beginning about 1400. They resisted the Europeans, and eventually retreated to the more mountainous parts of St. Vincent and Dominica, where they inter-married with escaped African slaves. In 1796 the British deported the St. Vincent Kalinago (about 5,000) to the island of Ruatan off Honduras. From there, they moved into present-day Belize, where their descendants live today. Descendants of the Dominica Kalinago still live on Dominica. This print portrays a number of their customs.
Illustration from The History, Civil and Commercial of the British Colonies in the West Indies / Bryan Edwards
St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Droits : All rights reserved by the source institution.
2004-232-2

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD European Geosciences Union (EGU)
Résumé : International audience
We consider here wind speed time series and the aggregate output wind power from a wind farm. We study their scaling statistics in the framework of fully developed turbulence and Kolmogorov's theory. We estimate their Fourier power spectra and consider their scaling properties in the physical space. We show that the atmospheric wind speed and the aggregate power output from a wind farm are intermittent and multifractal over a wide range of scales. The coupling between simultaneous data of the wind speed and aggregate power output is investigated through a joint multifractal description using the generalized correlation functions (GCFs). This multiscaling test is compatible with a linear relation between the wind speed and the aggregate power output fluctuations for timescales T > 103 s ' 15min.
ISSN: 1023-5809

hal-00958490
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00958490
DOI : 10.5194/npg-21-379-2014

Résumé : The slides were taken on collecting trips sponsored by the William L. Bryant Foundation, where books, music and art indigenous to the regions were gathered. The are organized by geographical location.
This view of the Blue Mountains in Jamaica shows a few houses and a winding road. Slide labeled Blue Mts.
Jamaica -- Caribbean region

Droits : All rights to images are held by the respective holding institution. This image is posted publicly for non-profit educational uses, excluding printed publication. For permission to reproduce images and/or for copyright information contact Special Collections & University Archives, University of Central Florida Libraries, Orlando, FL 32816 phone (407) 823-2576, email: speccoll@mail.ucf.edu
CFM1972_01a
http://ufdc.ufl.edu/AA00031012/00001

Éditeur(s) : Université des Antilles Études caribéennes
Résumé : This paper will analyze the tourism image the municipal and state tourism offices of Guanajuato, Mexico, a World Heritage site, aim to project through their promotional materials: a small, colonial city, whose streets are shown as empty, cobble-stoned, and set in romantic light. The "city of Cervantes in the Americas" (a title bestowed by UNESCO in 2005 to honor the theatrical tradition of Cervantes plays in Guanajuato) appears to want to set forth an image of tranquility and spaciousness, while the reality is much different: Guanajuato's mainly narrow and windy streets typically bustle, plazas and gardens are full of activity, in short, the town is alive, yet its projected image lacks liveliness. Furthermore, although it is a World Heritage site, Guanajuato has thus far not used that brand to its advantage; instead, Guanajuato has recently had a variety of slogans to promote itself, seemingly at the whim of officials. Through interviews with tourism officials and a selection of collected tourism materials, I show how the city has yet to establish a “coherent” brand, and is going through various phases of place marketing at once.
Cette étude analyse l'image touristique et le projet touristique des municipalités et des offices de tourisme de l'État de Guanajuato, au Mexique. La «ville de Cervantès dans les Amériques" (un titre décerné par l'UNESCO en 2005 pour honorer la tradition théâtrale de Cervantès joue dans Guanajuato) semble vouloir assoir une image de tranquillité et d'espace, alors que la réalité est bien différente: l’image projetée de la ville de Guanajuato est loin de refléter la vie animée des places et jardins, des ruelles étroites coloniales. Force est de constater que la ville n’a pas encore su tirer profit de sa reconnaissance en tant que site du patrimoine mondial. Les slogans évoluent au gré des fonctionnaires qui organisent en charge de ce secteur. Par le biais d'entrevues avec des fonctionnaires du tourisme et une sélection de matériaux recueillis tourisme, l’auteure montre comment la ville passe par différentes phases marketing sans avoir établie une image cohérente de la destination.
Guanajuato
Mexique

Droits : info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
urn:doi:10.4000/etudescaribeennes.3882
http://journals.openedition.org/etudescaribeennes/3882

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Springer Verlag
Résumé : International audience
Few studies have investigated the influence of environmental conditions on the within-treevariation in Eucalyptus wood traits. The genotype and environment effects and their interactionsinfluence the wood properties. Their evaluations are crucial to estimate the genotype values andto select with efficiency. Thus, the aim of this study was to better understand the effect ofground slope and wind speed on the spatial variation of basic density (ρ), stiffness (MOE) andmicrofibril angle (MFA) of Eucalyptus wood. Wood discs cut along the trunk were sampledfrom 150 six-year-old Eucalyptus grandis x E. urophylla hybrids growing in 3 contrastinggrowing conditions influenced by ground slope and wind regime. Near Infrared (NIR)calibrations previously developed for ρ, MOE and MFA were used to predict in our discs. 2-Dplots presenting the spatial variation of predicted wood traits were compared. The higher theground slope, the greater the magnitude of radial variation in ρ, principally in the medium zoneof the trunk. The spatial variation of wood stiffness seems to be sensitive to two environmentalconditions. The MFA radial decreases were more pronounced where the wind speed was higher.At the base and top of the trees, however, there was no significant effect of growing conditionson the radial variation of the wood properties considered here.
ISSN: 0931-1890

hal-01451896
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01451896
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01451896/document
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01451896/file/Art_Gril_al_Spatial_variation_wood_density_2016.pdf
DOI : 10.1007/s00468-015-1327-8

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Springer
Résumé : In this work, we present an analysis of one-year period measured wind speed in the atmospheric boundary layer from a wind energy production site. We employ a Hilbert-based methodology, namely arbitrary-order Hilbert spectral analysis to characterize the intermittent property of the wind speed in a joint amplitudefrequency space. The measured scaling exponents implies intermittent nature of the wind on mesoscales.
Wind Energy: Impact of Turbulence

ISBN : 978-3642546952
hal-00958512
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00958512

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : The Gulf of Aigues-Mortes (NW Mediterranean Sea) is a midshelf zone whose scale is an intermediate between the nearshore scale (0–10 m depth) and the coastal scale (including the whole continental shelf). Its hydrodynamics is investigated for the first time. ADCP, CTD and thermosalinograph data were collected during three short cruises (HYGAM; March 6–7, 20–21, April 5–6, 2005). They were scheduled approximately every 15 days to sample the gulf circulation under different weather conditions. Moreover, the cruise data were used to validate the Symphonie model, a 3D primitive equations circulation model. The circulation features displayed by in situ data were well reproduced by Symphonie. A downscaling modelling approach was implemented, the largest scale being obtained by the replay of the MFSTEP regional model of the North-Western Mediterranean Sea. The analysis, closely coupling in situ measurements and model results, provides information that would not have been obtained using data separately. The great variability of the oceanic circulation at this scale is well evidenced. Winds are the main forces, not only locally but also at a larger scale. North winds generate coherent structures interacting with the general Mediterranean circulation. The explanation of the induced currents is then not straightforward, some of them being, for example, northward. South and southeast winds reinforce the sloping surface, the latter allowing the geostrophic equilibrium with longshore currents. This study, focused on the end of winter 2004–2005, also enhances the heat fluxes from offshore to nearshore, as well as the initiation of shelf dense waters. The knowledge of the midshelf oceanic circulation is then applied to run a numerical experiment which describes both the dispersion of a fictive contaminant from a point S (at the centre of the GAM), and evaluates the risk of contamination of the beaches along the GAM shores.
ISSN: 0278-4343

hal-00196620
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00196620
DOI : 10.1016/j.csr.2007.06.006

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Intech
Résumé : International audience
The massive integration of sustainable energies into electrical grids (non-interconnectedor connected) is a major problem due to their stochastic character revealed by strongfluctuations at all scales. In this paper, the scaling behaviour or power law correlationsand the nature of scaling behaviour of sustainable resource data such as flow velocity,atmospheric wind speed, solar global solar radiation and sustainable energy such as,wind power output, are highlighted. For the first time, Fourier power spectral densitiesare estimated for each dataset. We show that the power spectrum densities obtained areclose to the 5/3 Kolmogorov spectrum. Furthermore, the multifractal and intermittentproperties of sustainable resource and energy data have been revealed by the concavityof the scaling exponent function. The proposed analysis frame allows a full descriptionof fluctuations of processes considered. A good knowledge of the dynamic of fluctua-tions is crucial to management of the integration of sustainable energies into a grid.
Sustainable Energy - Technological Issues, Applications and Case Studies

hal-01528087
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01528087
DOI : 10.5772/106341

Éditeur(s) : Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd
Résumé : In the present work, a biophysical dispersal model is used to understand the role of the physical environment in determining reef fish larval dispersal patterns in the South-West Lagoon of New Caledonia. We focus on a reef fish species, the humbug damselfish Dascyllus aruanus, to investigate seasonal variability of simulated larval retention at the scale of a reef patch and at the scale of the lagoon, and to explore links between larval retention and wind variability. The model shows that retention exhibits considerable temporal variability and periodically reaches values much larger than anticipated. Non-zero larval settlement occurs over a large part of the lagoon. Nevertheless, settlement values decrease quickly away from the natal reef and mean dispersal distances are of order 25-35 km. Cross-correlation analyses indicate that weather conditions characterized by strong south east trade winds lead to low retention rates at both local (reef) and regional (lagoon) scales. By contrast, subtropical weather conditions characterized by weak winds result in high retention rates. These results suggest that large-scale weather regimes can be used as proxies for larval retention of the humbug damselfish in the South-West Lagoon of New Caledonia. Nevertheless, relatively small mean dispersal distances suggest that meta-population dynamics occur on relatively small spatial scales.
Progress In Oceanography (0079-6611) (Pergamon-elsevier Science Ltd), 2014-03 , Vol. 122 , P. 105-115

Droits : 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00170/28115/26326.pdf
DOI:10.1016/j.pocean.2013.12.006
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00170/28115/

Éditeur(s) : Elsevier Science Bv
Résumé : During the Echolag cruise (13 February-8 March 2007), the effect of 16-30 knot trade winds on abundance, community structure and dynamics of phytoplankton was investigated in the southern part of the New Caledonian coral reefs and surrounding oceanic waters. In this area, the coral reefs form two horn-like structures (hereinafter referred to as 'horn reefs'), oriented south-east, and separated by a relatively deep valley. Three repeated samplings at one week intervals of a 32 station array showed that trade winds induce surface water cooling and significant enrichment of mid- and bottom waters above the reef shelf. This enrichment appeared as the result of a general rise of the oceanic thermocline and nitracline due to the combination of trade winds and tidally-generated internal waves between the horn reefs. It was accompanied by a factor of 1.5 and 2.3 mean increase for the chlorophyll concentration and picoplankton-nanoplankton cell number, respectively. From diel variations of in vivo chlorophyll a fluorescence and hourly sampling, phytoplankton gross growth rate was estimated to be 1-1.35 divisions per day and was quasi balanced with phytoplankton mortality for a 24 h period.
Journal Of Marine Systems (0924-7963) (Elsevier Science Bv), 2010-09 , Vol. 82 , N. 4 , P. 230-244

Droits : 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00013/12437/9258.pdf
DOI:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2010.05.010
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00013/12437/

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : International audience
The aim of this study was to examine the heart rate (HR) response to Olympic windsurfing competition and to check if there was any correlation between racing HR, performance, and the variables measured during laboratory maximal exercise. Ten elite windsurfers [age: 20.93 (3.46) years; height: 178.10 (6.34) cm; body mass: 66.79 (5.90) kg] performed a laboratory maximal oxygen consumption (VO2max) trial and national windsurf competitions wearing a HR monitor. One hundred and forty-three individual races were examined. Racing HR was expressed as a percentage of (1) HRmax (maximal treadmill HR) and (2) HRreserve (HRmax)HRrest). The performance (racing classification: RC, which is inversely proportional to performance) was significantly correlated to the racing HR response in both light wind (LW): LW)RC=)0.12(%HRreserve)+13.03; r=)0.71, r2=0.50, p<0.001, and medium wind (MW): MW)RC=)0.11(%HRreserve)+10.99; r=)0.66, r2=0.43, p<0.001. The results showed similar correlations between performance and %HRmax. Post racing lactate concentration was higher in LW compared to MW [7.14 (0.21) and 5.18 (2.02) mmolÆl)1, respectively]. There was a negative correlation between the highest racing HR (%HRreserve) of each athlete and the second ventilatory threshold expressed as a percentage of VO2max (r=-0.71, p<0.05). To summarize, this study showed that light and medium wind Olympic windsurfing performances are highly dependent on the capacity of the athlete to maintain a high HR for long periods of time. Furthermore, windsurfing is highly dependent on the athlete's physical fitness level as shown by the correlations between racing HRs and laboratory physiological variables.
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED PHYSIOLOGY

hal-00720564
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-00720564
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-00720564/document
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-00720564/file/Chamari_Wind_surf_and_Heart_rat.pdf

Éditeur(s) : [s.n.] ( Bruxelles )
Résumé : Relief shown by hachures and landform drawings.
Includes parts Leeward and Windward Islands.
United States Virgin Islands -- Saint Croix
Guadeloupe -- Saint Barthelemy
Netherland Antilles
Saint Kitts and Nevis
Antigua and Barbuda
Montserrat
Dominica
Martinique
Saint Lucia
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Grenada
Barbados
Antilles, Lesser
West Indies
West Indies
Lesser Antilles
West Indies
Antilles, Lesser

Droits : This item is presumed to be in the public domain. The University of Florida George A. Smathers Libraries respect the intellectual property rights of others and do not claim any copyright interest in this item. Users of this work have responsibility for determining copyright status prior to reusing, publishing or reproducing this item for purposes other than what is allowed by fair use or other copyright exemptions. Any reuse of this item in excess of fair use or other copyright exemptions may require permission of the copyright holder. The Smathers Libraries would like to learn more about this item and invite individuals or organizations to contact Digital Services (UFDC@uflib.ufl.edu) with any additional information they can provide.
AAA4626
ANV0552
002822027
http://ufdc.ufl.edu/UF90000381/00001

Résumé : This image appeared in Munson Steamship Line's "The Cuba Review and Bulletin" on the cover in July 1905 with the following caption: "Cover illustration: A turn in the road that winds down the Yumuri Valley, Matanzas. A fountain, centuries old, near by yields the traveler refreshing drink."
1900-1910
CHC5017
Matanzas (Cuba)

Droits : http://merrick.library.miami.edu/digitalprojects/copyright.html
chc50170000260001001
1295

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Public Library of Science
Résumé : International audience
We assessed the occurrence of algae in five species of tank-bromeliads found in contrasting environmental sites in a Neotropical, primary rainforest around the Nouragues Research Station, French Guiana. The distributions of both algal abundance and biomass were examined based on physical parameters, the morphological characteristics of bromeliad species and with regard to the structure of other aquatic microbial communities held in the tanks. Algae were retrieved in all of the bromeliad species with mean densities ranging from ∼10(2) to 10(4) cells/mL. Their biomass was positively correlated to light exposure and bacterial biomass. Algae represented a tiny component of the detrital food web in shaded bromeliads but accounted for up to 30 percent of the living microbial carbon in the tanks of Catopsis berteroniana, located in a highly exposed area. Thus, while nutrient supplies are believed to originate from wind-borne particles and trapped insects (i.e., allochtonous organic matter), our results indicate that primary producers (i.e., autochtonous organic matter) are present in this insectivorous bromeliad. Using a 24-h incubation of size-fractionated and manipulated samples from this plant, we evaluated the impact of mosquito foraging on algae, other microorganisms and rotifers. The prey assemblages were greatly altered by the predation of mosquito larvae. Grazing losses indicated that the dominant algal taxon, Bumilleriopsis sp., like protozoa and rotifers, is a significant part of the diet of mosquito larvae. We conclude that algae are a relevant functional community of the aquatic food web in C. berteroniana and might form the basis of a complementary non-detrital food web.
ISSN: 1932-6203

hal-00819161
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00819161
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00819161/document
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00819161/file/Brouard2011_AreAlgae.pdf
DOI : 10.1371/journal.pone.0020129

Résumé : Ce travail est l'expression d'une volonté de chercheurs, de la Carabe d'améliorer les connaissances scientifiques méso- et micro-météorologiques appliquées aux milieux insulaires sous influence des alizés et de développer la recherche dans ces domaines.On sait que le phénomène météorologique le plus remarquable impactant les îles de la Caraïbe reste le cyclone tropical. Mais d'autres phénomènes, a des échelles inferieures, telles que les pluies intenses, les houles, la dégradation de la qualité de l'air ont une importance aigüe en termes de risques naturels ou de risques sur la sante. Ces exemples attestent la nécessité d'utiliser des méthodes de descente d'échelle pour exploiter l'information météorologique et/ou climatique de grande échelle et dériver des scenarios locaux et régionaux appliques aux territoires insulaires. Ce défi est important car l'attente d'analyses scientifiques pertinentes dans ces domaines est grande.Les travaux présentés dans ce mémoire ont pour principaux objectifs la simulation numérique puis l'analyse des mécanismes méso- et micro-échelles qui induisent des circulations locales diurnes et nocturnes sur l'archipel de la Guadeloupe à l'aide de codes numériques météorologiques éprouves car largement utilises en recherche et en prévision opérationnelle.Ils constituent donc la première étude de modélisation numérique à haute résolution en basse atmosphère, par descente d'échelle dynamique, pour des intervalles d'espace compris entre 1 km et 111 m sur cet archipel.Le modelé atmosphérique Weather Research and Forecasting ARW V3.4 (WRF ARW), non-hydrostatique, a été utilise pour l'ensemble des simulations pour modéliser la troposphère depuis l'échelle globale à l'échelle de la turbulence.Trois situations météorologiques classiques réelles d'une durée de 48 heures, correspondant à 80 % des situations météorologiques observées dans la zone, alizes soutenus (AS), alizes moyens (AM), alizes faibles (AF) ont été examinées. Ces situations sont caractérisées par les valeurs du nombre de Froude local suivantes : 0,82 (AS), 0,41 (AM) et 0,21 (AF). Six domaines de modélisation ont été sélectionnés pour effectuer les descentes d'échelle dynamiques : D01 (maille de 27 km), D02 (maille de 9 km), D03 (maille de 3 km), D04 (maille de 1 km), D05 (maille de 333 m) et D06 (maille de 111 m) avec soixante-dix niveaux verticaux. Les quatre premiers domaines (D01 à D04) couvrent l'archipel de la Guadeloupe et sont utilisés en mode méso-échelle à l'aide d'un schéma d'ensemble de couche limite planétaire YSU. Les domaines D05 (couvrant l'île de la Basse-Terre et le centre de l'archipel) et D06 (couvrant la zone littorale et rurale du Petit Cul-de-Sac Marin et la zone urbaine de l'agglomération pointoise) sont utilisés en mode Large Eddy Simulation avec une fermeture de la turbulence 1,5 TKE 3D. Le modèle WRF a été forcé toutes les six heures par l'assimilation des champs d'analyses globales du modèle NCEP FNL (1° de résolution). Les simulations effectuées ont permis d'obtenir des champs de variables météorologiques 10-minutes à très hautes résolutions spatiales.Les résultats des simulations méso- et micro-échelles ont été confrontés aux valeurs expérimentales obtenues à l'aide de capteurs places sur des mâts météorologiques (campagne Atmo-Mangrov et réseau de mesure Météo-France). Il s'agissait d'optimiser l'utilisation des couplages de codes numériques tout en conservant la possibilité de les confronter aux observations expérimentales.Les résultats des simulations numériques micro-échelles, des différents cas (AS, AM, AF) sont utilisées pour forcer (c'est-à-dire définir les conditions limites) un modèle lagrangien de dispersion de particules : FLEXPART. Le système couple FLEXPART-WRF a été employé dans le domaine D06 pour étudier la dispersion du panache d'oxydes d'azote émis par la principale usine de production d'électricité de l'île.
The present work expresses the will of Caribbean researchers to improve the meso- and micro-meteorological scientific knowledge of the trade winds influenced island areas, and to develop research in these domains.It is well known that tropical hurricanes remain the most remarkable meteorological phenomena that affect the Caribbean islands. But some other phenomena, of smaller scale, such as intense rainfall events, swells, or air quality degradation, are of extreme importance for natural or health hazards. These examples show the need to use downscaling methods to exploit large scale meteorological or climatic information, and to obtain local and regional scenarios for the island areas. This is an important challenge, as sound scientific studies in these matters are eagerly expected. The aim of the research works exposed in the present dissertation is numerical simulation and analysis of the meso- and microscale mechanisms that induce diurnal and nocturnal local circulations in the Guadeloupe archipelago, using numerical meteorological models that are widely used in research and in operational forecasting.These works represent the first high-resolution (1 km to 111 m) numerical study of the lower atmosphere over the Guadeloupe archipelago. The Weather Research and Forecasting ARW 3.4 (WRF-ARW) model is used to simulate the troposphere from global scale to turbulence scale. Real cases of three typical weather types (80% of cases during a year) are examined during 48 hours : strong trade winds (STW), medium trade winds (MTW) and weak trade winds (WTW). These weather types are characterized by values of the local Froude number : 0.82 (STW), 0.41 (MTW) and 0.21 (WTW). Six domains have been selected for the dynamical downscaling : D01 (grid spacing of 27 km), D02 (grid spacing of 9 km), D03 (grid spacing of 3 km), D04 (grid spacing of 1 km), D05 (grid spacing of 333 m) and D06 (grid spacing of 111 m), including 70 vertical levels. The first four domains (D01 to D04) cover the Guadeloupe archipelago and are used in the meso-scale simulations with the planetary boundary layer scheme YSU (ensemble mean). Domain D05 (covering the Basse-Terre island and the middle of the archipelago) and domain D06 (covering the coastal and rural area of Le Petit Cul-de-Sac Marin and the urban area of Pointe-à-Pitre), are employed in the micro-scale simulation (LES) with the 3D TKE 1.5 order closure scheme. WRF has been 6 hourly reinitialized with the NCEP FNL global analyses (resolution of 1°). These simulations permitted to obtain 10-minutes meteorological variable fields with a very high resolution (111 m).Meso-scale and micro-scale model results have been evaluated with observational data from meteorological stations (field campaign Atmo-Mangrov, French Met Office).Once validated, the micro-scale model outputs have been used for the assimilation of the lagrangian particle dispersion model : FLEXPART. The coupling FLEXPART-WRF has been employed in domain D06, in order to analyze the dispersion of the nitrogen oxide plume emitted by the main power plant of the archipelago.

http://www.theses.fr/2014AGUY0735/document

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
The objectives are to study and model the aggregate wind power fluctuations dynamics in the multifractal framework. We present here the analysis of aggregate power output sampled at 1 Hz during three years. We decompose the data into several Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMF) using Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD). We use a new approach, arbitrary order Hilbert spectral analysis, a combination of EMD approach with Hilbert spectral analysis (or Hilbert Huang Transform) and the classical structure function analysis to extract the scaling exponents or multifractal spectrum $zeta(q)$: this function provides a full characterization of a process at all intensities and all scales. The application of both methods, i.e. structure function and arbitrary-order Hilbert spectral analyses, give similar results indicating that the aggregate power output from a wind farm, possesses intermittent and multifractal properties. In order to check this result, we generate stochastic simulations of a Multifractal Random Walk (MRW) using a log-normal stochastic equation. We show that the simulation results are fully compatible with the experimental results.
Physica A

hal-01527887
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01527887
DOI : 10.1016/j.physa.2013.04.038

Résumé : La forte variabilité de la vitesse du vent fait que l'énergie produite par un parc éolien n'est pas constante dans le temps. Le gestionnaire ne peut donc pas dimensionner son réseau électrique en prenant intégralement ce type de production en compte. L' une des solutions préconisées pour permettre le développement de l' éolien et son intégration avec une plus grande sureté aux réseaux, est de développer et d'améliorer les outils de prévisions. Le travail de thèse consiste à améliorer les performances d'un outil de prédiction basé sur les réseaux de neurones bayesiens, permettant la prédiction de la puissance à très court terme . Le prédicteur fonctionne notamment par J'ajustement de paramètres, certain se détermine « automatiquement » via le mécanisme des réseaux de neurones bayesiens d' autres, que nous nommerons paramètres temporels, sont à l' appréciation de l'utilisateur. Le travail mené consiste à établir un protocole pour la fixation de ces paramètres tout en améliorant les performances du prédicteur . Nous avons donc décidé de conditionner leurs valeurs en fonction de la variabilité des séquences de puissance précédent l'instant de prévision. Tout d'abord nous avons classifié des séquences de puissance en fonction de leurs coefficients de variation en appliquant la méthode des C-moyennes floues. Puis, chaque classe formée a été testée sur plusieurs valeurs de paramètres, les valeurs associées aux meilleures prédictions ont été retenues. Enfin, ces résultats couplés au formalisme des Chaines de Markov, par le biais de la matrice de transition , ont perm is d'obtenir des taux d'amélioration par rapport à la persistance allant de 7,73 à 23,22 % selon l'horizon de prédiction considéré
The high variability of the wind speed has for conse quences that the energy produced by a wind farm is not constant over time. Therefore, the manager can't size the electrical network by takin g into account this type of production. One solution advocated for the development of wind energy and its integrati on with greater security at network, is to develop and improve fore casting tools. The thesi s objective is to improve the performance of a predi ction tool based on Bayesian neural networks, allowing the predi ction of wind power for short timescales. The predictor works, in part icular by the adjustment of parameters, sorne is determined "automatically" through the mechan ism of neural networks Bayesian other , which we cali temporal parameters are at the discretion of the user. The work involves establishing a protocol for the determination of these parameters and improving the performance of the predictor. So, we decided to condition their values depending on the sequence variability of wind power previous the moment of the forecast. First we classified sequences of power according to their coefficients of variation using the method of fuzzy C-means. Then, each formed class was tested for several parameters values, the values associated with the best predictions were selected. Finally , these result s coupled with the formalism of Markov chains , through the transition matrix allowed to obtain rates of improvement over the persistence ranging from 7.73 to 23.22 % depending on the prediction horizon considered

http://www.theses.fr/2013AGUY0679/document

Éditeur(s) : Gauthier-Villars
Résumé : The distribution and behaviour of nutrients (nitrate, nitrite, ammonia, silicate and phosphate) have been examined over the course of a year in two major Scottish estuaries, the Forth and Tay. Maximum concentrations of nitrate and silicate in both estuaries occur in winter, when mixing is conservative. By contrast maximum phosphate, ammonia and nitrite concentrations (notably in the Forth) are observed in summer, these are related to lower oxygen concentrations both within the water column and sediments. Phosphate, ammonia and nitrite concentrations are high in the Forth relative to the Tay. Phosphate behaviour in plots for both estuaries show some common features including removal at low salinity, mid estuary inputs and simple dilution at high salinity. The results are interpreted on the basis of removal onto particles at low salinity followed by desorption at higher salinity together with an input from sediment porewaters. In the Forth the phosphate flux from sediments during the summer is estimated to be 1.98 +/- 1.25 mmol m-2 day-1. At this time the river input of phosphorus is only 10- 14 % of the mid estuary input. Under low river flow conditions in summer a large turbidity maximum (400-500 mg l-1 suspended solids) develops in the Forth estuary and this results in removal of phosphate. Removal is less dramatic in the Tay estuary as the turbidity is wind generated and therefore rarely exceeds 100 mg 1-1. Water quality in the Forth (as defined by the occurrence of low dissolved oxygen concentrations and the presence of species such as ammonia and nitrite) is inferior to that of the Tay. Relative to contaminated estuaries however concentrations in both estuaries are low. By virtue of its high fresh water discharge the Tay is a more significant source of nitrate to the North Sea during the winter than is the Forth. In the Forth bacterial mineralisation and nitrification of organic nitrogen occurs in the upper estuary, this results in an input of nitrate and consumption of dissolved oxygen. Further downstream broad mid estuarine peaks of nitrite and ammonia are observed indicative of a benthic source. Estimates of this source for ammonia and nitrite are 19-44 and 3.9-8.1 mmol m-2 day-1 respectively. In winter the main source of nitrogen to the Forth is from the river but in summer mid estuarine sources dominate. In the outer Tay a peak in dissolved ammonia is estimated to represent an input of 0.5-1.1 tonnes N day-1, this is attributed to sewer inputs from Dundee.
Oceanologica Acta (0399-1784) (Gauthier-Villars), 1992 , Vol. 15 , N. 3 , P. 261-277

Droits : info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00100/21160/18779.pdf
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00100/21160/

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : International audience
In this work, we present an analysis of a one-year period measured wind speed in the atmospheric boundary layer from a wind energy production site. We employ a Hilbert-based methodology, namely arbitrary-order Hilbert spectral analysis, to characterize the intermittent property of the wind speed in a joint amplitude-frequency space. The measured scaling exponents implies intermittent nature of the wind on mesoscales.
Wind Energy-Impact of turbulence

hal-01528079
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01528079
DOI : 10.1007/978-3-642-54696-9