Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : National audience
Congrès de la SPTC - Société de Pharmaco-Toxicologie Cellulaire
Paris, France

hal-01122677
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01122677

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Wiley
Résumé : International audience
In the mid-afternoon of 15 July 2007, during the Convective and Orographically induced Precipitation Study (COPS), in a very warm and dry environment, an isolated, short-lived, deep convective system developed over the southern Black Forest. Most of the high-resolution, convection-permitting models involved in COPS were unable to capture this event whereas the Meso-NH forecast was quite skilful. To assess the Meso-NH performance further, the model results were carefully checked against the various and numerous COPS observations. In full agreement with clear-air radar observations, model results underlined the triggering role of a low-level convergence line that developed in the lee of the Feldberg. The main departure from the observations was found to be in the low-level moisture fields, which appeared significantly moister in the model than in the observations and also slightly moister than in the other models. Sensitivity studies showed that this departure from the observations was strongly controlled by the initial surface moisture conditions. When the surface moisture was reduced by 20% or replaced by the value derived from a different analysis, the evolution of the planetary boundary layer was more accurately represented while the storm evolution was still correctly captured. These results demonstrate that the quality of the initial forecast cannot be ascribed to the moist bias of the model. It could therefore be hypothesized that the key parameters for a satisfactory forecast of this event lie more in the ability of the model to reproduce the dynamical forcing accurately than in the characteristics of the air-mass instability.
ISSN: 0035-9009

hal-00554400
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00554400
DOI : 10.1002/qj.710

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Météo et Climat
Résumé : International audience
The Convective and Orographically- induced Precipitation Study (COPS) is a coordinated international project, comprised of an observational field campaign and a research programme aiming to advance the quality of fore- casts of orographically-induced pre- cipitation by four-dimensional obser- vations and modelling of its life cycle. The COPS field campaign took place during June-July-August 2007 over eastern France and south-western Germany. Its main objective was to provide an unprecedented comprehen- sive set of in situ and remotely-sensed meteorological observations of the entire depth of the troposphere. After a short overview of the project, the paper focuses on the French contribution to the COPS field phase, describes the experimental setup and highlights some key observations.
L’étude des précipitations convectives induites par l’orographie (Cops selon l’acronyme anglais) est un projet inter- national coordonné qui comprend une campagne d’observations de terrain et un programme scientifique et qui vise à améliorer la qualité des prévisions des précipitations orographiques convectives à la fois par l’observation quadridimensionnelle et la modélisa- tion de leur cycle de vie. La campagne de terrain s’est déroulée en juin-juillet- août 2007 sur l’est de la France et le sud-ouest de l’Allemagne. Son objectif majeur était de fournir un jeu d’obser- vations météorologiques, in situ et à distance, aussi complet que possible et sur toute la profondeur de la colonne troposphérique.Après une brève revue d’ensemble du projet, l’article se concentre sur la contribution française à la campagne Cops, décrit le dispositif expérimental mis en œuvre et met en valeur quelques observations clés.
ISSN: 0026-1181

insu-01504075
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01504075
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01504075/document
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01504075/file/meteo_2009_64_32.pdf
DOI : 10.4267/2042/23632