Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : International audience
Structure and evolution of networks have been areas of growing interest in recent years, especially with the emergence of Social Network Analysis (SNA) and its application in numerous fields. Researches on diffusion are focusing on network modeling for studying spreading phenomena. While the impact of network properties on spreading is now widely studied, involvement of network dynamicity is very little known. In this paper, we address the epidemiology context and study the consequences of network evolutions on spread of diseases. Experiments are conducted by comparing incidence curves obtained by evolution strategies applied on two generated and two real networks. Results are then analyzed by investigating network properties and discussed in order to explain how network evolution influences the spread. We present the MIDEN framework, an approach to measure impact of basic changes in network structure, and DynSpread, a 2D simulation tool designed to replay infections scenarios on evolving networks.
Database and Expert Systems Applications - 22nd International Conference, DEXA 2011, Toulouse, France, August 29 - September 2, 2011, Proceedings, Part II
Toulouse, France

hal-00614925
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00614925
DOI : 10.1007/978-3-642-23091-2_49

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD AGU and the Geochemical Society
Résumé : International audience
Numerical models show that small-scale convection (SSC) occurring atop a mantle plume is a plausible mechanism to rejuvenate the lithosphere. The triggering of SSC depends on the density contrast and on the rheology of the unstable layer underlying the stagnant upper part of the thermal boundary layer (TBL). Partial melting may change both properties. We analyze, using 2-D numerical simulations, how partial melting influences the dynamics of time-dependent SSC instabilities and the resulting thermo-mechanical rejuvenation of an oceanic plate moving atop of a plume. Our simulations show a complex behavior, with acceleration, no change, or delay of the SSC onset, due to competing effects of the latent heat of partial melting, which cools the plume material, and of the buoyancy increase associated with both melt retention and depletion of residue following melt extraction. The melt-induced viscosity reduction is too localized to affect significantly SSC dynamics. Faster SSC triggering is promoted for low melting degrees (low plume temperature anomalies, thick lithosphere, or fast moving plates), which limit both the temperature reduction due to latent heat of melting and the accumulation of depleted buoyant residue in the upper part of the unstable layer. In contrast, high partial melting degrees lead to a strong temperate decrease due to latent heat of melting and development of a thick depleted layer within the sublithospheric convecting layer, which delay the development of gravitational instabilities. Despite differences in SSC dynamics, the thinning of the lithosphere is not significantly enhanced relatively to simulations that neglect partial melting.
ISSN: 1525-2027

hal-01277175
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01277175
DOI : 10.1002/2015GC005967

Éditeur(s) : Université des Antilles Études caribéennes
Résumé : Après avoir rappelé que comme concept de gestion des territoires, le développement durable peut s’inscrire dans un système territorial complexe, l’article s’interroge sur les imaginaires associés à la ruralité et à l’insularité. Largement issue du regard de nos sociétés urbaines, la critique des abus d’un modèle de développement insulaire peu respectueux d’un environnement détérioré et/ou à l’abandon, conduit à promouvoir une gestion des territoires intégrant également une dimension économique et socioculturelle, notamment un fort mouvement de « patrimonialisation », sorte de réinvention de l’île mythique, symbole d’un équilibre passé. Divers exemples (île grecque de Skopelos, Corse, Martinique) montrent que ressources et savoir-faire spécifiques, difficilement transposables en dehors du contexte insulaire, peuvent être considérés comme un atout pour le développement ; ils renforcent l’identité d’une communauté et inspirent des dynamiques sociales renouvelées. Pour autant, il importe de réfléchir aux interactions entre des filières qui partagent les mêmes lieux, les mêmes ressources et impliquent les mêmes personnes. À l’évidence, la qualité du lien social augmente la résilience du système territorial même si cela passe par une redéfinition des règles collectives qui visent à inventer des solidarités durables passant davantage par des savoir-être ensemble que par des savoir-faire purement techniques.
As a concept of territorial management, sustainable development can be analysed in the systemic vision allowed by complex territorial systems. This article wonders about the representations associated to rural areas and insularity. Largely encouraged by our modern societies, the critical vision of island development – not environmentally friendly models – promotes an integrated vision of development aiming at combining economical and sociocultural considerations. The great movement of cultural heritage, sort of reinvention of mythic islands symbolising a past equilibrium is then progressively supported. Different examples dealt with in this article (The Greek island of Skopelos, Corsica, Martinique) show that resources and specific know-how, not easily transferable out of the insular context, can be considered as strong advantages for development. They reinforce communities’ identity and favour new social dynamics. Obviously, quality ties increase the resilience of the territorial system even though it necessitates to redefine collective rules that aim at inventing sustainable solidarity relying mainly on knowing how to behave instead of pure technical know-how.
Grèce
Corse
Martinique

Droits : info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
urn:doi:10.4000/etudescaribeennes.3454
http://journals.openedition.org/etudescaribeennes/3454

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
In this paper we present a new local remeshing algorithm that is dedicated to the problem of erosion in finite element models whose grid follows the movement of the free surface. The method, which we name Surface Lagrangian Remeshing (SLR), is adapted to 2D Lagrangian models which couple surface erosion with deformation of Earth materials. The remeshing procedure preserves nodes defining the surface submitted to erosion and removes nodes belonging to surface elements whose internal angles or area is critically low. This algorithm is ideally suited to track long term surface evolution. To validate the method we perform a set of numerical tests, using triangular finite elements, which compare the results obtained with the SLR algorithm with global remeshing and with analytical results. The results show good agreements with analytical solutions. Interpolation errors associated with remeshing are generated locally and numerical diffusion is restricted to the remeshed domain itself. In addition this method is computationally costless compared to classical global remeshing algorithm. We propose to couple the SLR method with the Dynamical Lagrangian Remeshing (DLR) algorithm to enable local remeshing only of Lagrangian models coupling large deformation of Earth materials with large erosion.
ISSN: 0098-3004

hal-00639472
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00639472
DOI : 10.1016/j.cageo.2010.05.023

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD MAIK Nauka/Interperiodica
Résumé : Interaction between surface processes and deep tectonic processes plays a key role in the structural evolution, kinematics and exhumation of rocks in orogenic wedges. The deformation patterns observed in analogue models applied to natural cases of present active or ancient mountain belts reflect several first order processes that result of these interactions. Internal strain partitioning due to mechanical behaviour of a thrust wedge has a strong impact on the vertical component of displacement of tectonic units that in return favour erosion in domains of important uplift. Such strain partitioning is first controlled by tectonic processes, but surface processes exert a strong feed back on wedge dynamics. Indeed, material transfer in thrust wedges not only depends on its internal dynamics, it is also influenced by climate controlled surface processes involving erosion and sedimentation. Effects of erosion are multiple: they allow long term localization of deformed domains, they favour important exhumation above areas of deep underplating and combined with sedimentation in the foreland they contribute to maintain the wedge in a critical state for long time periods. The simple models illustrate well how mountain belts structure, kinematics of tectonic units and exhumation are determined by these complex interactions.
ISSN: 0016-8521

hal-00561361
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00561361
DOI : 10.1134/S0016852110060075

Éditeur(s) : Canadian Science Publishing, Nrc Research Press
Résumé : We develop a spatially and seasonally explicit bioeconomic model with three fleet dynamics processes built in endogenously. The model has been applied to the large French trawlers harvesting a medium-depth demersal stock, North Sea saithe (i.e., pollock, Pollachius virens), and a mix of deepwater species over a 10-year period (1999-2008), and the predictions have been contrasted with observations. The best overall fit was achieved where effort allocation was determined to be 80% by traditions and 20% by economic opportunism and where harvest efficiency increased by 8% a year. With this fleet dynamics parameterization, annual trends in fishing effort and profit were well reproduced by the model over the whole time period. Time series of the observed fishing effort by metier were generally well fitted by the model over the period 1999-2003, but less so over 2004-2008. The model also reasonably reproduced the catches by species over most of the time series, except for black scabbardfish (Aphanopus carbo).
Nous développons un modèle bio-économique spatial et saisonnier dans lequel trois processus caractérisant la dynamique des flottilles sont décrits de manière explicite. Ce modèle a été appliqué aux grands chalutiers français exploitant le lieu noir de mer du Nord (Pollachius virens) et une variété d'espèces profondes au cours d'une période de 10 ans (1999–2008), et les prévisions ont été contrastées avec les observations. Le meilleur ajustement est obtenu lorsque l'allocation de l'effort de pêche est déterminée a` hauteur de 80% par les traditions et 20% par l'opportunisme économique, et lorsque l'augmentation de l'efficacité de pêche est d'environ 8% par an. En paramétrant ainsi le module de dynamique des flottilles, les tendances annuelles de l'effort de pêche et du profit sont bien reproduites par le modèle sur l'ensemble de la période. Les variations temporelles de l'effort de pêche par métier sont généralement bien prises en compte sur la période 1999–2003, mais non sur la période 2004–2008. Le modèle ajuste les captures raisonnablement sur la plus grande partie de la période d'étude, pour toutes les espèces sauf le sabre noir (Aphanopus carbo).
Canadian Journal Of Fisheries And Aquatic Sciences (0706-652X) (Canadian Science Publishing, Nrc Research Press), 2013-07 , Vol. 70 , N. 7 , P. 992-1010

Droits : 2013 NRC Research Press
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00151/26227/24329.pdf
DOI:10.1139/cjfas-2012-0326
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00151/26227/

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Wiley
Résumé : International audience
Projections of climate change impacts on coral reefs produced at the coarse resolution (~1°) of Global Climate Models (GCMs) have informed debate but have not helped target local management actions. Here, projections of the onset of annual coral bleaching conditions in the Caribbean under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 are produced using an ensemble of 33 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase-5 models and via dynamical and statistical downscaling. A high-resolution (~11 km) regional ocean model (MOM4.1) is used for the dynamical downscaling. For statistical downscaling, sea surface temperature (SST) means and annual cycles in all the GCMs are replaced with observed data from the ~4-km NOAA Pathfinder SST dataset. Spatial patterns in all three projections are broadly similar ; the average year for the onset of annual severe bleaching is 2040–2043 for all projections. However, downscaled projections show many locations where the onset of annual severe bleaching (ASB) varies 10 or more years within a single GCM grid cell. Managers in locations where this applies (e.g., Florida, Turks and Caicos, Puerto Rico, and the Domini-can Republic, among others) can identify locations that represent relative albeit temporary refugia. Both downscaled projections are different for the Bahamas compared to the GCM projections. The dynamically downscaled projections suggest an earlier onset of ASB linked to projected changes in regional currents, a feature not resolved in GCMs. This result demonstrates the value of dynamical downscaling for this application and means statistically downscaled projections have to be interpreted with caution. However, aside from west of Andros Island, the projections for the two types of downscaling are mostly aligned; projected onset of ASB is within AE10 years for 72% of the reef locations.
ISSN: 1354-1013

Droits : http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/
hal-01223492
https://hal-univ-perp.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01223492
https://hal-univ-perp.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01223492/document
https://hal-univ-perp.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01223492/file/Hooidonk_et_al-2015-Global_Change_Biology.pdf
DOI : 10.1111/gcb.12901

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
We propose a new geometric approach to describe the qualitative dynamics of chemical reactions networks. By this method we identify metastable regimes, defined as low dimensional regions of the phase space close to which the dynamics is much slower compared to the rest of the phase space. These metastable regimes depend on the network topology and on the orders of magnitude of the kinetic parameters. Benchmarking of the method on a computational biology model repository suggests that the number of metastable regimes is sub-exponential in the number of variables and equations. The dynamics of the network can be described as a sequence of jumps from one metastable regime to another. We show that a geometrically computed con-nectivity graph restricts the set of possible jumps. We also provide finite state machine (Markov chain) models for such dynamic changes. Applied to signal transduction models, our approach unravels dynamical and functional * corresponding author capacities of signalling pathways, as well as parameters responsible for speci-ficity of the pathway response. In particular, for a model of TGFβ signalling, we find that the ratio of TGFBR2 to TGFBR1 receptors concentrations can be used to discriminate between metastable regimes. Using expression data from the NCI60 panel of human tumor cell lines, we show that aggressive and non-aggressive tumour cell lines function in different metastable regimes and can be distinguished by measuring the relative concentrations of receptors of the two types.
ISSN: 0303-2647

hal-01379033
https://hal.inria.fr/hal-01379033
https://hal.inria.fr/hal-01379033/document
https://hal.inria.fr/hal-01379033/file/Samal_et_al_Biosystems_final.pdf
DOI : 10.1016/j.biosystems.2016.07.004

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé :  
For a comprehensive evaluation of human influences on the genetic system, the simulation model EGO-GENE was developed. The model combines population genetic and population dynamic processes with forest growth models. The dynamics of genetic structures (single locus and multilocus genotypes up to 200 loci) can be simulated. Spatial and temporal genetic dynamics are included in the model. Overlapping or separated generations can be created and different modes of mating systems can be implemented. The model can be run with empirical and fictitious input data. The simulated genetic structures can be directly analysed with established genetic analysis programmes. An example demonstrates the use of the model far validation of interactions among components of the mating system. Another example demonstrates the applicability of the model in decision-making for seed sampling strategies. The genetic differences between the adult trees and the harvested seeds and the danger of genetic drift regarding to different seed sampling strategies are investigated by use of the genetic distance and the reproductively effective population size.
Silvae genetica

hal-01032083
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01032083

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Oxford University Press (OUP)
Résumé : International audience
Two-dimensional simulations using a thermomechanical model based on a finite-difference method on a staggered grid and a marker in cell method are performed to study the plume-lithosphere interaction beneath moving plates. The plate and the convective mantle are modelled as a homogeneous peridotite with a Newtonian temperature- and pressure-dependent viscosity. A constant velocity, ranging from 5 to 12.5 cm yr−1, is imposed at the top of the plate. Plumes are generated by imposing a thermal anomaly of 150 to 350 K on a 50 km wide domain at the base of the model (700 km depth); the plate atop this thermal anomaly is 40 Myr old. We analyse (1) the kinematics of the plume as it impacts the moving plate, (2) the dynamics of time-dependent small-scale convection (SSC) instabilities developing in the low-viscosity layer formed by spreading of hot plume material at the base of the lithosphere and (3) the resulting thermal rejuvenation of the lithosphere. The spreading of the plume material at the base of the lithosphere, characterized by the ratio between the maximum down- and upstream horizontal (dimensionless) velocities in the plume-fed sublithospheric layer, Peup/Pedown depends on the ratio between the maximum plume upwelling velocity and the plate velocity, Peplume/Peplate. For fast plate velocities and sluggish plumes (low Peplume/Peplate), plate motion drags most plume material and downstream flow is dominant. As Peplume/Peplate increases, an increasing part of the plume material flows upstream. SSC systematically develops in the plume-fed sublithospheric layer, downstream from the plume. Onset time of SSC decreases with the Rayleigh number. For vigorous plumes, it does not depend on plate velocity. For more sluggish plumes, however, variations in the plume spreading behaviour at the base of the lithosphere result in a decrease in the onset time of SSCs with increasing plate velocity. In any case, SSC results in uplift of the isotherm 1573 K by up to 20 km relative to its initial equilibrium depth at the impact point.
ISSN: 0956-540X

hal-00856763
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00856763
DOI : 10.1093/gji/ggt128

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : Volatile-rich, silica-undersaturated alkaline lavas record the important role of fluids during fluid-rock and magma-rock interactions in the mantle, which are key processes to understand the dynamics of the convective mantle and lithosphere-asthenosphere interactions in intracontinental settings. The aim of this thesis is to bring new constraints on the genesis of alkaline magmas by characterizing the crystallization conditions, the source and the partial melting processes taking part in the genesis of olivine nephelinites, pyroxene nephelinites and basanites from the Jbel Saghro volcanic field in the Moroccan Anti Atlas.The petrological and geochemical study of rocks and minerals coupled with the analysis of fluid inclusions constrains the pre-eruptive conditions of Saghro nephelinites to 1.7–2.2 GPa and ~1350 °C. Minerals show that nephelinitic magmas are rich in volatile elements (Cl, F, S), and fluid inclusions indicate that magmas were saturated with a CO2-rich fluid at pressures > 590 MPa. The various mineralogical assemblages and the presence of peridotite xenoliths suggest a rapid ascent for olivine nephelinites and more complex processes at depth for pyroxene nephelinites.Fractional crystallization and partial melting modelling of Saghro mafic lavas indicate that they are low-degree melts (0.6–2.5 %) of an amphibole-bearing carbonated peridotite enriched in incompatible elements, at the garnet-spinel transition (~80–85 km). Saghro nephelinites display a temporal evolution with a slight increase of the degree of melting and a decrease of the amount of residual amphibole from the oldest (olivine nephelinites, 9.6 Ma) to the most recent (pyroxene nephelinites, 2.9 Ma). Basanites form a system that is independent from nephelinites and are slightly higher-degree melts. Important variations in their chemical composition suggest variable amounts of fractional crystallization during ascent.The peculiar characteristics of Saghro nephelinites and basanites (enrichment in incompatible elements, negative anomalies in K, Zr, Hf and Ti, high Ca/Al and Zr/Hf ratios) indicate that their source was affected by carbonatitic metasomatism. The influence of this metasomatism is stronger for pyroxene nephelinites than for olivine nephelinites. These results suggest fluid-rock interactions beneath the Northwest African Craton, leading to the formation of a metasomatized mantle by CO2-rich carbonatitic components at the lithosphere-asthenosphere transition. The origin of the metasomatism inducing source enrichment and the formation of amphibole veins could be attributed to the melting of relict subducted oceanic lithosphere. The relatively low melting temperatures (< 1350 °C) suggest the absence of a thermal anomaly beneath the Jbel Saghro, and thus support a lithosphere delamination model as precursor of Saghro volca0,3nism. However, the increasing degree of partial melting over time, also observed in the Middle Atlas, together with the isotopic and geochemical similarities with Canary Islands alkaline lavas does not allow us to discard the influence of a deviation of the Canary mantle plume beneath northwest Africa.
Les laves alcalines sous-saturées riches en éléments volatils sont les marqueurs du rôle important des fluides dans le manteau et des interactions fluide-roche et magma-roche, processus clés pour comprendre la dynamique du manteau convectif et les interactions asthénosphère-lithosphère en domaine intracontinental. L’objectif de cette thèse est d’apporter de nouvelles contraintes sur la genèse des magmas alcalins en caractérisant les conditions de cristallisation, la source et les processus de fusion partielle à l’origine des néphélinites à olivine, des néphélinites à pyroxène et des basanites du champ volcanique du Jbel Saghro dans l’Anti-Atlas marocain.L’étude pétrologique et géochimique des roches et des minéraux, couplée à l’analyse des inclusions fluides a permis de contraindre les conditions pré-éruptives des néphélinites de Saghro à 1.7–2.2 GPa et ~1350 °C. Les minéraux montrent que les magmas néphélinitiques sont riches en éléments volatils (Cl, F, S), et les inclusions fluides indiquent que les magmas étaient saturés en fluide riche en CO2 à des pressions > 590 MPa. Les différents assemblages minéralogiques des néphélinites et la présence de xénolites péridotitiques suggèrent une ascension rapide des néphélinites à olivine et des processus plus complexes en profondeur pour les néphélinites à pyroxène.La modélisation des processus de cristallisation fractionnée et de fusion partielle des laves mafiques de Saghro a permis de déterminer qu’elles sont issues de faibles taux de fusion partielle (0.6–2.5 %) d’une péridotite carbonatée enrichie en éléments incompatibles, au niveau de la transition grenat–spinelle (~80–85 km) et en présence d’amphibole. Les néphélinites de Saghro montrent une évolution temporelle avec une légère augmentation du taux de fusion et une diminution de la quantité d’amphibole au résidu des plus anciennes (néphélinites à olivine, 9.6 Ma) aux plus récentes (néphélinites à pyroxène, 2.9 Ma). Les basanites forment un système indépendant des néphélinites et sont issues de taux de fusion plus élevés. Les fortes variations dans leur composition chimique suggèrent qu’elles ont subi de la cristallisation fractionnée lors de leur ascension.Les caractéristiques particulières des néphélinites et basanites de Saghro (enrichissement en éléments incompatibles, anomalies négatives en K, Zr, Hf et Ti, rapports Ca/Al et Zr/Hf élevés) indiquent que leur source a subi un métasomatisme principalement carbonatitique. L’influence de ce métasomatisme est plus forte pour les néphélinites à pyroxène que pour les néphélinites à olivine, impliquant une évolution temporelle de l’intensité du métasomatisme. Ces résultats suggèrent des interactions fluide-roche sous le craton Nord-Ouest Africain, entraînant la formation d'un manteau métasomatisé par des composants carbonatitiques riches en CO2 au niveau de la transition lithosphère-asthénosphère. L’origine du métasomatisme provoquant l’enrichissement de la source et la formation de veines d’amphibole pourrait être liée à la fusion de reliquats de croûte océanique subductée. Les températures de fusion relativement faibles (< 1350 °C) suggèrent l’absence d’anomalie thermique sous le Jbel Saghro, et favorisent donc un modèle de délamination de la lithosphère comme initiateur du volcanisme. Cependant, l’augmentation du taux de fusion partielle au cours du temps, également observée dans le Moyen Atlas, et les similitudes isotopiques et géochimiques avec les laves alcalines des îles Canaries ne permettent pas d’exclure une influence du panache des Canaries sur la source du volcanisme alcalin du Jbel Saghro.
https://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-01615888

NNT : 2015MONTS070
tel-01615888
https://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-01615888
https://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-01615888/document
https://tel.archives-ouvertes.fr/tel-01615888/file/53752_CHAMBOREDON_2015_archivage_cor.pdf

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
Because many biological processes related to the dynamics of infectious diseases are caused by complex interactions between the environment, the host(s) and the agent(s), the necessity to address the methodological implications of this inherent complexity has recently emerged in epidemiology. Most epidemiologists now acknowledge that most human infectious diseases are likely to have complex dynamics. However, this knowledge still percolates with difficulty in their statistical "modus operandi". Indeed, for the study of complex systems, the traditional first-line statistical toolbox of epidemiologists (mainly built around the Generalized Linear Model family), despite its undeniable practicality and robustness, has structural limitations deprecating its usefulness. Three major sources of complexity neglected or not taken into account by this first-line statistical toolbox and having deep statistical implications are the multi-level organization of data, the non-linear relationships between variables and the complex interactions between variables. Three promising candidates to incorporate along with traditional tools for a new first-line statistical toolbox more suitable to apprehend these sources of complexity are the generalized linear mixed models, the generalized additive models, and the structural equation models. The aforementioned methodologies have the advantage to be generalizations of GLM models and are relatively easy to implement. Their assimilation and implementation would thus be greatly facilitated for epidemiologists. More globally, this text underlines that an improved use of other methods as such described here compared to traditional ones has to be performed to better understand the complexity challenging epidemiologists every day. This is particularly true in the field of infectious diseases for which major public health challenges will have to be addressed in the coming decades.
ISSN: 1567-1348

inserm-00872354
http://www.hal.inserm.fr/inserm-00872354
http://www.hal.inserm.fr/inserm-00872354/document
http://www.hal.inserm.fr/inserm-00872354/file/main_document.pdf
DOI : 10.1016/j.meegid.2013.09.006

Éditeur(s) : Université des Antilles Études caribéennes
Résumé : Sur fond de crise du tourisme au Nord, de la globalisation de l’économie et de l’accélération des mobilités, une évolution des formes de développement touristiques semble à l’œuvre dans les confins géographiques. Dans certains territoires touristiques du fait de conflits dans l’usage des ressources naturelles, des pratiques récréatives alternatives émergent qui combinent une logique économique avec des préoccupations socio-environnementales.Notre article analyse l’apparition du tourisme scientifique dans la région « non-touristique » de Aysén, en Patagonie chilienne. Des acteurs d’un territoire se mobilisent selon des pôles culturels et des axes thématiques autour de projets pilotes, de recherche expérientielle et de médiations scientifiques innovantes. Sur ce front pionnier, un réseau informel d’acteurs coordonne ses actions pour aborder les problématiques sociales et environnementales de leur territoire. Opérateurs et prestataires pour le tourisme scientifique créent de manière participative une offre originale. Un système touristique alternatif, axé sur la protection de l’environnement, de la culture et des dynamiques sociales de la communauté d’accueil, favorise l’acquisition et le partage de savoirs entre scientifiques, acteurs locaux et visiteurs.Le tourisme scientifique s’inscrit-il dans une évolution globale des pratiques touristiques ? En proposant de dépasser les frontières, entre activités récréatives et le travail, de lieux de vie et de loisir, il apparaît comme l’expression d’un « après-tourisme ». L’hybridation des pratiques, une approche scientifique associée à l’esprit de la découverte inhérent au voyage, semble pouvoir relever des défis sociétaux liés à l’essor d’un tourisme globalisé. Alors que le tourisme est pensé depuis longtemps en termes de transfert de compétences, de modèles et d’ingénierie du Nord vers le Sud, une périphérie propose de nouveaux cadres de pensée, d’action et de participation qui renouvellent le sens du voyage.
In the context of a tourism crisis in the north, a globalized economy and an increase of mobility, a change in the forms of tourism development seems to occur in peripheral areas. In some tourism areas and due to conflicts over the use of natural resources, alternative recreational practices arise that combine economic needs and socio-environmental concerns.Our article analyzes the appearance of scientific tourism in the "non-tourist" region of Aysén, in Chilean Patagonia. Actors of a territory unite according to specific cultural poles and thematic axes through experiential research and innovative scientific mediation pilot projects. On this pioneer front, an informal network of stakeholders coordinates its actions to address the social and environmental issues of their territory. Operators and service providers for scientific tourism create an innovative offer in a participatory process. An alternative tourism system, focused on protecting the environment, the culture and social dynamics of the host community, promotes the acquisition and sharing of knowledge between scientists, local actors and visitors.Is scientific tourism part of a global evolution of tourism practices? By proposing to go beyond established boundaries, of recreational activities and work, everyday places and leisure areas, it appears as the expression of an “After-Tourism”. The hybridization of practices, a scientific approach associated with the spirit of the discovery inherent of the travel experience, seems to respond to the challenges of the community confronted to the rise of a globalized tourism. While tourism has always been thought of in terms of transfer of skills, models and engineering from the North to the South, a periphery offers new frameworks of thought, action and participation that renew the meaning of travel.
En un escenario de crisis del turismo en los países desarrollados, de la globalización de la economía y del incremento de las movilidades, una evolución de las formas de desarrollo del turismo parece estar en marcha en los confines geográficos. En ciertos territorios turísticos, debido a los conflictos de uso de los recursos naturales, prácticas recreativas alternativas surgen que combinan una lógica económica con preocupaciones socio-ambientales.El presente artículo analiza el surgimiento del turismo científico en la región “no-turística” de Aysén en la Patagonia chilena. Actores del territorio se unen según polos y temáticas científicas, a través de proyectos pilotos, de investigación experiencial y mediaciones científicas innovadoras. En este frente pionero, una red informal se organiza para abordar las problemáticas sociales y ambientales de su territorio. Operadores y proveedores de servicios para el turismo científico crean de manera participativa una oferta novedosa. Un sistema turístico alternativo, basado en el cuidado del medio ambiente, de la cultura y de las dinámicas sociales del comunidad de acogida, favorece la adquisición y el intercambio de conocimientos entre científicos, actores locales y visitantes. ¿Será la aparición del turismo científico la expresión de una evolución global de las practicas turísticas? Al invitar a que sean sobrepasadas las fronteras, entre actividades recreativas y el trabajo, lugares de vida y sitios de esparcimiento, este se presenta como un “Pos-Turismo”. La hibridación de las prácticas, una aproximación científica asociada al espíritu de descubrimiento inherente del viaje, parece poder resolver los desafíos de nuestras sociedades vinculados al auge de un turismo globalizado. Cuando el turismo suele ser pensado desde hace mucho, como un proceso de transferencia de capacidades, de modelos y de ingenierías, del Norte hacia el Sur, una periferia propone nuevos marcos conceptuales, de acción y de participación, que renuevan el sentido del viaje.
Patagonie

Droits : info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
urn:doi:10.4000/etudescaribeennes.11169
http://journals.openedition.org/etudescaribeennes/11169

Résumé : En 2013, Le Groupe d'experts Intergouvernemental sur l'Evolution du Climat (GIEC) publie son cinquième rapport concernant les changements climatiques. Il y est souligné que le réchauffement climatique est sans équivoque, et que de nouvelles émissions de gaz à effet de serre impliqueront une poursuite du réchauffement et des changements affectant toutes les composantes du système climatique. En région tropicale, une hausse de la température, ainsi qu'une intensification des événements de sécheresse et de pluviométrie extrêmes sont à prévoir. C'est dans ce contexte que s'inscrit ce travail, dont le but est d'étudier la réponse de la forêt tropicale à ces changements climatiques prédits en Guyane Française. Pour ce faire, j'ai utilisé les données du dispositif de suivi forestier de Paracou pour construire un modèle de dynamique individuel basé sur les traits fonctionnels des arbres. Un modèle de mortalité a d'abord été réalisé puis couplé à un modèle de croissance.Le modèle couplé ainsi construit permet de modéliser la croissance et la mortalité des arbres sur un pas de temps de 2 ans tout en tenant compte de leur ontogénie et de leurs traits fonctionnels. Ce modèle a d'abord été appliqué aux essences commerciales de Guyane Française en forêt naturelle et exploitée en y ajoutant un indice de stress hydrique. Ceci permet de montrer que le stress hydrique fait baisser la croissance et augmenter la mortalité, tandis que l'exploitation a l'effet inverse. Malgré le signal commun, différentes réponses sont observées selon les espèces. Le modèle a ensuite été appliqué à la communauté en forêt naturelle pour identifier les drivers climatiques et les processus impactés. Il ressort que la croissance est impactée par le stress hydrique et la température, et que la mortalité est impactée par le stress hydrique et la pluviométrie totale.Ces résultats ont enfin permis de construire un modèle complet de dynamique forestière climat dépendant, et de simuler l'évolution d'une communauté pendant un siècle selon différents scénarios correspondant aux prédictions du GIEC. Les simulations mettent en évidence une très forte diminution de la croissance, ainsi qu'une plus faible diminution de la mortalité. Ceci entraine une diminution notable de la surface terrière, du diamètre quadratique et de la biomasse fraiche. Une analyse de sensibilité montre que ces changements sont principalement dus à l'augmentation sévère des températures prédites pour le siècle à venir. Des pistes de réflexion sur les enjeux de modélisation et les échelles considérées sont proposées en discussion de ce travail.
In 2013 the intergovernmental panel on climate change (ipcc) publishes its fifth report. This report underlines that an increase of temperature and a strengthening of drought and extreme rainfall are expected in tropical regions. This work was made in this context of climate changes, and aimed to study the response of the rainforest to predicted climate changes. To do this, i used the data from the study site of Paracou French Guiana to build an individual based dynamics model based on the functional traits of trees. This model was first applied to species with a commercial interest in French Guiana, in natural and logged forest and adding a water stress index as predictor. Water stress decreases growth and increases mortality, while logging had the opposite effect. The model was then applied to the community in natural forest for identifying potential climate drivers and impacted processes. Growth is impacted by the water stress and temperature and mortality is imp acted by the water stress and the total rainfall. These results allowed us to build a climate dependent model of forest dynamics and to run simulations of the evolution of a community under different scenarios for the next century. Simulations showed a decrease of growth and a small decrease of mortality. This resulted in a substantial decrease of basal area, squared diameter and fresh biomass.

http://www.theses.fr/2014AGUY0802/document

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
The Aegean domain is a key area for understanding the processes of back-arc extension. Observed deformation pattern and present day kinematics result from the interaction between the southward retreat of the Hellenic trench and the westward escape of Anatolia. Lithosphere-scale analogue models were employed to display that the overall pattern of Aegean extension requires not only the combination of trench retreat and Anatolia escape since middle Miocene but also the presence of an inherited lithosphere-scale mechanical discontinuity: the Vardar Suture Zone (VSZ). The reactivation in dextral shear of the eastern branch of the VSZ accommodates both the trench retreat (NS stretching) and the westward escape of Anatolia (EW shortening) in the Cyclades area since middle Miocene. Additionally, our model shows that the North Anatolian Fault (NAF) is a late structure in the evolution of the Aegean, initiated around 10 Ma after the onset of Anatolia escape. The displacement field at the surface of the model allows the identification of sub-domains, which result from strain partitioning instead of being "rigid microplates", directly comparable to the present-day displacement field (GPS) of the Aegean and western Anatolia. Our model provides a simple but powerful way to look at the dynamics of Aegean extension in two main stages. From middle Eocene to middle Miocene, extension was only driven by the southward retreat of the Hellenic trench at a rate lower than 1 cm*y− 1. Since middle Miocene, the combination of slab rollback with Anatolia westward escape resulted in a southwest direction of trench retreat, with an accelerating rate of up to 3 cm*y− 1.
ISSN: 0040-1951

insu-01066042
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01066042
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01066042/document
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01066042/file/Philippon-brun-tect-2014-HAL.pdf
DOI : 10.1016/j.tecto.2014.04.039

Éditeur(s) : Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh
Résumé : Boundary Exchange (BE - exchange of elements between continental margins and the open ocean) has been emphasized as a key process in the oceanic cycle of neodymium (Nd) (Lacan and Jeandel, 2005a). Here, we use a regional eddy-permitting resolution Ocean General Circulation Model (1/4A degrees) of the North Atlantic basin to simulate the distribution of the Nd isotopic composition, considering BE as the only source. Results show good agreement with the data, confirming previous results obtained using the same parameterization of the source in a coarse resolution global model (Arsouze et al., 2007), and therefore the major control played by the BE processes in the Nd cycle on the regional scale. We quantified the exchange rate of the BE, and found that the time needed for the continental margins to significantly imprint the chemical composition of the surrounding seawater (further referred as characteristic exchange time) is of the order of 0.2 years. However, the timescale of the BE may be subject to large variations as a very short exchange time (a few days) is needed to reproduce the highly negative values of surface waters in the Labrador Sea, whereas a longer one (up to 0.5 years) is required to simulate the radiogenic influence of basaltic margins and distinguish the negative isotopic signatures of North Atlantic Deep Water from the more radiogenic southern origin water masses. This likely represents geographical variations in erosion fluxes and the subsequent particle load onto the continental margins. Although the parameterization of the BE is the same in both configurations of the model, the characteristic exchange time in the eddy-permitting configuration is significantly lower than the previous evaluations using a low resolution configuration (6 months to 10 years), but however in agreement with the available seawater Nd isotope data. This results highlights the importance of the model dynamics in simulating the BE process.
Ocean Science (1812-0784) (Copernicus Gesellschaft Mbh), 2010 , Vol. 6 , N. 3 , P. 789-797

Droits : Author(s) 2010. This work is distributed, EGU
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00013/12412/9201.pdf
DOI:10.5194/os-6-789-2010
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00013/12412/

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Wiley
Résumé : [b]1.[/b] Plant functional traits, in particular specific leaf area (SLA), wood density and seed mass, are often good predictors of individual tree growth rates within communities. Individuals and species with high SLA, low wood density and small seeds tend to have faster growth rates.[br/][br/][b]2.[/b] If community-level relationships between traits and growth have general predictive value, then similar relationships should also be observed in analyses that integrate across taxa, biogeographic regions and environments. Such global consistency would imply that traits could serve as valuable proxies for the complex suite of factors that determine growth rate, and, therefore, could underpin a new generation of robust dynamic vegetation models. Alternatively, growth rates may depend more strongly on the local environment or growth–trait relationships may vary along environmental gradients.[br/][br/][b]3.[/b] We tested these alternative hypotheses using data on 27 352 juvenile trees, representing 278 species from 27 sites on all forested continents, and extensive functional trait data, 38% of which were obtained at the same sites at which growth was assessed. Data on potential evapotranspiration (PET), which summarizes the joint ecological effects of temperature and precipitation, were obtained from a global data base.[br/][br/][b]4.[/b] We estimated size-standardized relative height growth rates (SGR) for all species, then related them to functional traits and PET using mixed-effect models for the fastest growing species and for all species together.[br/][br/][b]5.[/b] Both the mean and 95th percentile SGR were more strongly associated with functional traits than with PET. PET was unrelated to SGR at the global scale. SGR increased with increasing SLA and decreased with increasing wood density and seed mass, but these traits explained only 3.1% of the variation in SGR. SGR–trait relationships were consistently weak across families and biogeographic zones, and over a range of tree statures. Thus, the most widely studied functional traits in plant ecology were poor predictors of tree growth over large scales.[br/][br/][b]6.[/b] Synthesis. We conclude that these functional traits alone may be unsuitable for predicting growth of trees over broad scales. Determining the functional traits that predict vital rates under specific environmental conditions may generate more insight than a monolithic global relationship can offer.
ISSN: 0022-0477

hal-01204226
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01204226
DOI : 10.1111/1365-2745.12401
PRODINRA : 307144

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
The growth of relief in active tectonic areas is mainly controlled by the interactions between tectonics and surface processes (erosion and sedimentation). The study of long-lived morphologic markers formed by these interactions can help in quantifying the competing effects of tectonics, erosion and sedimentation. In regions experiencing active extension, river-long profiles and faceted spurs (triangular facets) can help in un- derstanding the development of mountainous topography along normal fault scarps. In this study, we devel- oped analogue experiments that simulate the morphologic evolution of a mountain range bounded by a normal fault. This paper focuses on the effect of the fault slip rate on the morphologic evolution of the foot- wall by performing three analogue experiments with different fault slip rates under a constant rainfall rate. A morphometric analysis of the modelled catchments allows comparing with a natural case (Tunka half- graben, Siberia). After a certain amount of fault slip, the modelled footwall topographies of our models reaches a dynamic equilibrium (i.e., erosion balances tectonic uplift relative to the base level) close to the fault, whereas the topography farther from the fault is still being dissected due to regressive erosion. We show that the rates of vertical erosion in the area where dynamic equilibrium is reached and the rate of re- gressive erosion are linearly correlated with the fault throw rate. Facet morphology seems to depend on the fault slip rate except for the fastest experiment where faceted spurs are degraded due to mass wasting. A stream-power law is computed for the area wherein rivers reach a topographic equilibrium. We show that the erosional capacity of the system depends on the fault slip rate. Finally, our results demonstrate the pos- sibility of preserving convex river-long profiles on the long-term under steady external (tectonic uplift and rainfall) conditions.
ISSN: 0040-1951

hal-00646966
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00646966
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00646966/document
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00646966/file/preprint_Strak_2011.pdf
DOI : 10.1016/j.tecto.2011.10.005

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
We discuss mantle structure and dynamics under the Gibraltar arc. For that region, a large variety of geodynamic models has been proposed, and there was, up to recently, no consensus on which of these models is the best one to describe the geodynamic situation of the region. The key to distinguishing the different models probably lies in the upper mantle, and we propose two specially adapted seismological techniques that help to distinguish each of the two models that are more frequently invoked. These are, on one hand, the subduction-rollback (SR) model, and on the other, continental delamination or convective removal (CDCR). The first technique that we use is based on observations of dispersed P-wavetrains that are expected for certain ray directions. Observations made on the Gibraltar arc suggest the presence of subducted oceanic lithosphere under the Alboran Sea. The second technique is based on shear-wave splitting of SKS phases, and it allows us to look for the radially-oriented flow that must be present in the mantle beneath the Alboran Sea, for a CDCR mechanism. There are however no indications of any radial flow up to this point. Both approaches therefore suggest that subduction-rollback is the best model to explain the complex geodynamic situation under the region.
ISSN: 0040-1951

hal-01388041
http://hal.univ-reunion.fr/hal-01388041
http://hal.univ-reunion.fr/hal-01388041/document
http://hal.univ-reunion.fr/hal-01388041/file/Bokelmann_Gibraltar_Tphy2011_hal.pdf
DOI : 10.1016/j.tecto.2010.08.004

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : International audience
In this work, we focus on the issue of diffusion in dynamic networks. We begin by proposing a generic framework that merges two essential aspects of the problem: diffusion and network dynamics. Then, our framework is used for comparing effects of two aspects of the human behavior, sociability and network dynamics. On the one hand the dynamics of the network is related to the movements of individuals in a social space that lead ephemeral social proximity contacts. On the other hand the diffusion phenomenon is studied through the epidemic paradigm. The results obtained by simulations provide original insight about how and why the "social dynamics" of individuals, related to the proximity in a social space and its evolutions, influences diffusion phenomena through a population.
International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining
Istanbul, Turkey

hal-00786162
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00786162
DOI : 10.1109/ASONAM.2012.104