Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : This paper studies the biological and economic effects of globalwarming on the French Guiana shrimp …fishery. The sea surface tem-perature is explicitly introduced into four natural growth functions,among which the Cobb-Douglas function best adjusts the availabledata. Besides, a Cobb-Douglas harvest function is also estimated, in-dicating that shrimp production in French Guiana is highly sensitive tothe shrimp stock, which implies that global warming may have strongeconomic implications. We …nally consider a centralized resource man-agement of the French Guiana shrimp …shery, that is undertaken invarious trend scenarios concerning the sea surface temperature. Un-der the most plausible scenario, in which the sea surface temperaturefollows the trend of the last decades, pro…ts and biomass respectivelydecrease and collapse around the end of the 2020’s.
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01243305

hal-01243305
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01243305
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01243305/document
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01243305/file/Diop%20et%20al.%20%282015%29.pdf

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : International audience
Several assessments of vulnerability and resilience have been attempted at a country level through composite indices but they are barely in accord with a holistic view of sustainable development. We suggest graph theory to structure a network of variables that depict vulnerability and resilience from a sustainable development perspective. Vulnerability is defined as the propensity to incur adverse shocks whereas resilience is the capacity to cope with their negative effects. We identify two control dimensions of vulnerability–resilience (economic and political) and three contingency factors (the social, environmental and the peripheral dimensions). The specificity of the control dimensions is rooted in their impact on all other sides of the pentagon. We propose an algorithm to select the key variables useful in building a composite index that conforms to the structure of these five dimensions while preventing loss of information. An application is provided on Singapore, which has been specified as a typical case of resilience.
Economic Modelling

hal-01291338
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01291338

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : This paper analyzes the effects of pollution permit markets on equilibrium employment in a wage-setting/ price-setting (WS-PS) model. The employment level is determined according to different methods of financing unemployment benefits: a wage tax or the revenue from a pollution permit auction. We show that a permit market weakens the trade unions' market power. Furthermore, whatever the method of financing unemployment benefits, the choice of the pollution cap is always neutral for employment, and the level of employment always increases as the pollution abatement technology becomes more efficient. Depending on the value of the wage tax, the employment level can be higher or lower when unemployment benefits are financed by pollution permits rather than wage tax.
ISSN: 0264-9993

halshs-00866721
https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00866721

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : This paper studies the implications of fi…sh search activities on the working of …fisheries. We develop a simple …shery matching modelin which …rms’ stochastic search for …sh requires speci…fic resources.The equilibrium level of anthropic pressure (number of empty ves-sels/conserved …sh stock) exerted by …rms on the …sh stock is derivedfrom their individual pro…t maximizing behavior. Anthropic pressuredetermines in turn the rate at which vessels fi…nd fi…sh i.e. catchability,which is therefore endogenous in our model, and the stock conserva-tion (uncaught …sh) rate, through the dynamic equation of the latter.We then show that under open access, equilibrium anthropic pressure,…fishing effort and the conservation rate heavily depend on search costs.An empirical study of the French Guiana shrimp …shery con…rms theability of the model to reproduce empirical data.
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01228851

Droits : info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
hal-01228851
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01228851
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01228851/document
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01228851/file/Nicolas%20Sanz%20%26Bassirou%20Diop.pdf

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
The paper is an empirical study on contagion during the 1997–1998 Asian crisis. In line with Sander and Kleimeier [Sander, H., Kleimeier, S., 2003. Contagion and causality: an empirical investigation of four Asian crisis episodes. International Financial Markets, Institution and Money 13, 171–186], Granger causality among Asian economies on sovereign debt market is tested. Using a new measure of causality, we attempt to show the existence of shift contagion defined as significant differences in cross-markets links between tranquil and crisis periods. Firstly, non-existent links during the tranquil period play a key role during the crisis. Secondly, causality directions give evidence of the major influence of the South Korean crisis which seems to prevail on investors to reassess the whole region.
ISSN: 1042-4431

hal-01288429
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01288429
DOI : 10.1016/j.intfin.2005.08.001

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : International audience
Vulnerability–resilience indexes fail to grasp all dimensions of sustainability, whereas sustainable development has gained momentum. We fill this gap with a hierarchical multimetric composite index (Net Vulnerability Resilience Index: NVRI) whose robustness relies on a mathematical algorithm based on graph theory. A worldwide application shows that (i) both vulnerability and resilience are policy-responsive and that (ii) there is no determinism for a country to remain vulnerable or resilient. The NVRI enables us to identify a country’s strengths and weaknesses and determine the policy orientations that should be implemented to achieve sustainability.
World Development

hal-01291345
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01291345
DOI : 10.1016/j.worlddev.2015.02.011

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : Two major findings emerge from the theoretical analysis of Transport-Tourism link via a game theory type model of capacity coordination. Firstly the model explains the optimal capacities ratio of Transport and Tourism by the quotient of the ratio of tourism type (ratio of the length of stay in the destination and of transport duration) divided by the installation costs ratio (of transport and tourism).The corollary of this first finding gives the second outcome: The optimal transport and Tourism profit ratio is the product of the ratio of the type of tourism by the index of overcapacity conditions (a non linear combination of installation costs, and durations). From these results, it follows an interpretive grid that allows, according to tourism types, firstly to identify the optimal overcapacities by the difference between installation costs; and secondly the equilibrium ratio of profits according to the overcapacity direction and the tourism types.
Deux résultats ressortent de l’analyse théorique du lien Transport-tourisme via un modèle de coordination des capacités : l’expression et les déterminants des capacités et des profits optimaux relatifs du Transport et du Tourisme. L’article démontre que le rapport des capacités optimales de transport et de tourisme dépend du ratio comparatif de leurs coûts d’installation à celui inversé de leur poids relatif. Ce premier résultat a pour corollaire le second : le rapport d’équilibre des profits est le produit des indicateurs du type de tourisme (le ration des temps respectifs dans le transport et dans la destination) de la destination par celui identifiant les conditions de surcapacité relative. De ces résultats généraux, il suit une grille d’interprétation qui permet d’identifier d’abord le rapport optimal des capacités selon l’écart entre les coûts d’installation et le type de tourisme ; et ensuite le rapport d’équilibre des profits selon les sens des surcapacités relatives et le types de tourisme.
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01265798

Droits : info:eu-repo/semantics/OpenAccess
hal-01265798
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01265798
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01265798/document
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-01265798/file/TOURISME-TRANSPORT%20-%20CAPACITY%20COORDINATION%20VERS%20FRANC.pdf

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : Our objective was to compare fruit morphology, physico-chemistry and bioactive compounds content ofthe edible pulp of six Mammea americana accessions. The results showed that this fruit was rather big,weighing on average 600 to 1100 g depending on the accession, and spherical to oblate-shaped. The pulprepresented between 50 and 70% of the weight of the whole fruit. The pulp adhered only partially to theseeds in 5 of the 6 accessions studied, while the last one exhibited full adherence. The fresh pulp wasacidic, sweet, succulent and crunchy. The fruits studied had a variety of qualities, providing variousopportunities for post-harvest uses: fruit salads, nectar preparation, jams and jellies, or export. We haveestablished for the first time the total phenolic compounds and total flavonoids contents in the pulp ofmamey apple fruits. The pulp colour was highly correlated with total phenolic compounds and total carotenoidscontents.
ISSN: 0308-8146

hal-01606022
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01606022
DOI : 10.1016/j.foodchem.2017.04.145
PRODINRA : 395676