Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : International audience
After the 2009 Morakot typhoon, which triggered numerous large landslides in Taiwan, Mouyen et al. (2013)showed for the first time the potential of time-lapse gravity survey to infer the mass of sediments transferringby landsliding or through rivers. By providing an integrated measurement of masses, gravimetry might thus becomplementary to common methods used to assess the sediments discharge of rivers. But the masses of rocksdisplaced by Morakot were exceptionally large as a result of the record-breaking rainfalls brought by this typhoonand one might wonder to what extent time-lapse gravimetry could record such sediment transfers. In order tobetter assess the capabilities of this method, we set a time-lapse gravity network dedicated to the monitoring ofsuch sediments transfers in Paolai village (south-central Taiwan). Paolai is located near the large Laonong riverwhere temporary alluvial deposits of sediments exist and face steep mountain slopes likely to experience landslides.Both features are considered as potential source of mass transfers, and in turn of temporal gravity changes. Thefirst base gravity measurements were done in November 2015, using absolute and relative gravimeters, and will berepeated every year, before and after the typhoon season. In the same time, we also use a terrestrial lidar to scan thegeometry of both the river and the mountain slopes, hence providing a detailed topographical survey of the studiedarea. Adding Lidar measurements is an efficient strategy to solve for the non-uniqueness of gravity solutions.Meanwhile, we use the Eros morphodynamic model, that combine landsliding and flooding models, to investigatevarious scenarios of landsliding and subsequent sediment transport and compute the gravity changes on a virtualnetwork of gravimeters. This gives us insights on the expected order of magnitudes for these surface sedimenttransfers, which are useful to unravel the induced gravity signal from others sources such as local hydrology orvertical ground displacements. The modeling results also enable us to set network location that are best defined todetect mass changes associated with sediment transfer. The main objective of this study is to test whether timelapsegravity brings a new and reliable information compared to present methods monitoring sediments transfersand landscape evolution.
European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2016
Vienne, Austria

insu-01308554
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01308554

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD BioMed Central
Résumé : International audience
UNLABELLED: ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND: Malaria remains a major health problem in French Guiana, with a mean of 3800 cases each year. A previous study in Camopi, an Amerindian village on the Oyapock River, highlighted the major contribution of environmental features to the incidence of malaria attacks. We propose a method for the objective selection of the best multivariate peridomestic landscape characterisation that maximises the chances of identifying relationships between environmental features and malaria incidence, statistically significant and meaningful from an epidemiological point of view. METHODS: A land-cover map, the hydrological network and the geolocalised inhabited houses were used to characterise the peridomestic landscape in eleven discoid buffers with radii of 50, 100, 200, 300, 400, 500, 600, 700, 800, 900 and 1000 metres. Buffer-based landscape characterisations were first compared in terms of their capacity to discriminate between sites within the geographic space and of their effective multidimensionality in variable space. The Akaike information criterion (AIC) was then used to select the landscape model best explaining the incidences of P. vivax and P. falciparum malaria. Finally, we calculated Pearson correlation coefficients for the relationships between environmental variables and malaria incidence, by species, for the more relevant buffers. RESULTS: The optimal buffers for environmental characterisation had radii of 100 m around houses for P. vivax and 400 m around houses for P. falciparum. The incidence of P. falciparum malaria seemed to be more strongly linked to environmental features than that of P. vivax malaria, within these buffers. The incidence of P. falciparum malaria in children was strongly correlated with proportions of bare soil (r = -0.69), land under high vegetation (r = 0.68) and primary forest (r = 0.54), landscape division (r = 0.48) and the number of inhabited houses (r = -0.60). The incidence of P. vivax malaria was associated only with landscape division (r = 0.49). CONCLUSIONS: The proposed methodology provides a simple and general framework for objective characterisation of the landscape to account for field observations. The use of this method enabled us to identify different optimal observation horizons around houses, depending on the Plasmodium species considered, and to demonstrate significant correlations between environmental features and the incidence of malaria.
ISSN: 1476-072X

inserm-00674075
http://www.hal.inserm.fr/inserm-00674075
http://www.hal.inserm.fr/inserm-00674075/document
http://www.hal.inserm.fr/inserm-00674075/file/1476-072X-10-65.pdf
DOI : 10.1186/1476-072X-10-65

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : International audience
Modelling techniques for river hydrologic forecasting systems have taken advantage of machine learning methods especially for flood prediction. But current solutions, mostly based on artificial neural networks do not always meet end users requirements on the readability and the understandability of predictive models. In this paper, we present a new version of our original solution based on the concept of aggregate variables in order to predict flash flood events from observed water level and/or rain measurements, particularly in the context of caribbean watersheds in which flash flood are much uncertain. We combine aggregate variables in juries. Juries of aggregate variables are trained and tested using a typical 10-fold cross validation scheme. Best juries are searched through an evolutionary approach that is optimized. Different parameters are set up like aggregation periods and jury sizes to prove the efficiency of the proposed approach compared to classical solutions.
Congress on Evolutionary Computation (CEC) 2013
Cancun, Mexico

hal-00847582
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00847582
DOI : 10.1109/CEC.2013.6557656

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD EDP Sciences
Résumé : Cette communication présente les principaux résultats du projet ExtraFlo sur l'estimation des pluies et crues extrêmes. A partir d'un jeu de données conséquent de plusieurs milliers de stations, une procédure d'inter-comparaison a permis d'évaluer les performances d'une trentaine d'implémentations différentes issues de différentes combinaisons (modèle probabiliste, méthode d'estimation, cadre local / régional / mixte local et régional). Le projet ExtraFlo a permis de mettre en évidence le manque de robustesse des approches basées sur le traitement statistique d'une série de quelques dizaines d'années d'observation. Des alternatives intéressantes existent, basées sur l'exploitation des records de pluie et de débit à l'échelle d'une région, de la collecte de données historiques quand cela est possible, de méthodes de simulation basées sur le couplage d'un générateur d'averses avec un modèle hydrologique pour la transformation des pluies en débit, ou des traces morphologiques laissées par les crues anciennes.
ISSN: 0018-6368

hal-01054313
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01054313
DOI : 10.1051/1hb/2014010

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD American Geophysical Union
Résumé : International audience
The aim of this study is to bring new information on water storage dynamics in karst systems from tiltmeter measurements. Newly developed long-base hydrostatic tiltmeters are installed at two sites on the Larzac plateau (France) in a karst aquifer of similar to 100 km(2) recharge area. Each site is located within a karst cave where two tilt directions are monitored. Significant reversible tilt deformation reaching amplitudes of 10(-6) to 10(-5) rad was observed at both sites following heavy precipitation. Elastic parameters were determined with an experiment in which a tiltmeter site was loaded by up to 25 t of weight at strategic locations at the ground surface. Mechanisms responsible for the observed tilt were then examined by means of finite element modeling. Deformation induced by water pressure changes in fractures is our preferred interpretation as the most plausible mechanism. Within this scope, we used the tiltmeter responses to extract time constants using lumped parameter modeling. Time constants are interpreted to be associated with the filling and emptying of fractures nearby the tiltmeters. These instruments therefore appear as useful tools to study the local dynamics of water infiltration in karst systems.
ISSN: 0043-1397

hal-00534461
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00534461
DOI : 10.1029/2009WR008082

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : International audience
In many geological reservoirs, open fractures or fault zones generally induce high spatial variability of hydrodynamical properties and shape the main deep-seated flow paths. It is of crucial interest to determine their structure and properties in order to achieve a sound and sustained exploitation of resources or to estimate the risk of failure of any underground storage. Tiltmeters have emerged as new tools to observe deformation generated by groundwater flow. As such instruments are highly sensitive to pressure gradients, they are perfectly suited for monitoring channelized flow in connected fractures and fault zones. Hence, they provide a unique insight of these reservoirs' geometry and dynamics over broad time scales. Here we demonstrate that continuous tilt data from surface long baseline tiltmeters (LBT) can be used alone to evaluate the general functioning of a fractured hardrock system and estimate the hydraulic properties of its main conductive features. The study is applied to the pumping site of Ploemeur observatory (Brittany, France) which is well documented and instrumented, and therefore forms a convenient setting for introducing LBT as tools for fractured media hydrology. On the short term, tilt signals are strongly correlated with pumping cycles and associated head level changes in well-connected boreholes. Besides, when pumps are stopped the maximal tilt direction is systematically perpendicular to a subvertical fault zone whose azimuth of strike has thereby been refined down to degree precision. By using a semi-analytical model of deformation, we establish the link between tilt and pressure change during pumping interruptions which then allows for hydraulic properties estimation from tilt measurements only. Finally, we validate our results with previous estimates obtained from other studies and discuss the orientation of future work that could enhance these estimates.
AGU Fall Meeting 2014
San Francisco, United States

insu-01093437
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01093437

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Météo et Climat
Résumé : International audience
Les risques hydrométéorologiques sont au coeur du programme de recherche HyMeX sur le cycle de l'eau en Méditerranée. HyMeX a pour ambition d'améliorer leur prévision, de mieux connaître leur variabilité à l'échelle pluriannuelle et de renseigner sur leur évolution, dans le contexte du changement climatique. À cette fin, deux campagnes de mesures dédiées à ces événements extrêmes (SOP1 : pluies intenses et crues rapides ; SOP2 : vents forts et formation d'eaux denses) sont organisées en Méditerranée nord-occidentale, entre septembre 2012 et mars 2013.
ISSN: 0026-1181

hal-00829760
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00829760
DOI : 10.4267/2042/48793

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD American Geophysical Union
Résumé : International audience
An analytical solution in the Laplace domain is derived for modeling anomalous pressure diffusion during pumping tests in aquifer displaying hierarchical fractal fracture networks. The proposed solution generalizes all of the analytical models for fractal flow published previously by combining multifractal diffusion and nested multiporosity with transient exchanges, interface skin effects, and well storage effect. Solutions are derived for fracture-delimited blocks with planar, cylindrical, and spherical shapes, as well as with any fractional dimensional shapes. Any combinations of these shapes can be defined in order to model a large range of situations. Within each permeability level, the fractal properties of the fracture network can be specified and the fractal dimension can be distinct from the shape dimension of the block.
ISSN: 0043-1397

hal-00411549
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00411549
DOI : 10.1029/2008WR007125

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Coastal Education and Research Foundation
Résumé : International audience
The ichthyofauna of the Manche-à-Eau mangrove lagoon was regularly sampled in 2002 with a fixed net at seven stations during 4 months corresponding to two hydrological seasons. Physicochemical variables (depth, temperature, salinity, dissolved oxygen, pH) and population descriptors (species and family richness, density and biomass) were measured. The Whitefield and the well-being indexes were calculated to appreciate species equilibrium. Canonical correspondence analysis and generalized linear models were used to link species assemblages to physicochemical variables and to search for a special link with salinity. A total of 30,733 individuals belonging to 34 species and 23 families were collected. The Gerreidae, Clupeidae, Engraulidae, Scianidae, and Sparidae represented almost 98% of the total number of individuals. Our results show that organization of the fish assemblages in the lagoon is poorly dependent on salinity, whereas dissolved oxygen, temperature, and pH could have a stronger role. Looking at response curves to salinity change, most fishes species appeared to be visitors, either temporarily present or regular migrators. Only a few species compose the year-round resident population. They have a high patrimonial value and could be considered bioindicator species for long-term studies (e.g., of global change and natural or anthropogenic disturbances). The Euclidean distance and biomass variables were not useful descriptors of confinement and biological zonation in the lagoon, whereas the negative gradient of specific richness, number of individuals, Whitefield index, and index of well-being better described confinement. On the basis of these last parameters, biological zonation in the Manche-à- Eau lagoon was established and is provided.
ISSN: 0749-0208

hal-00755285
https://hal.univ-antilles.fr/hal-00755285
DOI : 10.2112/06-0804.1

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : International audience
Characterizing the hydraulic properties of heterogeneous and complex aquifers often requires field scale investigations at multiple space and time scales to better constrain hydraulic property estimates. Here, we present and discuss results from the site of Ploemeur (Brittany, France) where complementary hydrological and geophysical approaches have been combined to characterize the hydrogeological functioning of this highly fractured crystalline rock aquifer. In particular, we show how cross-borehole flowmeter tests, pumping tests and frequency domain analysis of groundwater levels allow quantifying the hydraulic properties of the aquifer at different scales. In complement, we used groundwater temperature as an excellent tracer for characterizing groundwater flow. At the site scale, measurements of ground surface deformation through long-base tiltmeters provide robust estimates of aquifer storage and allow identifying the active structures where groundwater pressure changes occur, including those acting during recharge process. Finally, a numerical model of the site that combines hydraulic data and groundwater ages confirms the geometry of this complex aquifer and the consistency of the different datasets. The Ploemeur site, which has been used for water supply at a rate of about 106 m3 per year since 1991, belongs to the French network of hydrogeological sites H+ and is currently used for monitoring groundwater changes and testing innovative field methods.
AGU Fall Meeting 2014
San Francisco, United States

insu-01088596
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01088596

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Wiley
Résumé : The intensification of the hydrological cycle, with an observed and modeled increase in drought incidence and severity, underscores the need to quantify drought effects on carbon cycling and the terrestrial sink. FLUXNET, a global network of eddy covariance towers, provides dense data streams of meteorological data, and through flux partitioning and gap filling algorithms, estimates of net ecosystem productivity (FNEP), gross ecosystem productivity (P), and ecosystem respiration (R). We analyzed the functional relationship of these three carbon fluxes relative to evaporative fraction (EF), an index of drought and site water status, using monthly data records from 238 micrometeorological tower sites distributed globally across 11 biomes. The analysis was based on relative anomalies of both EF and carbon fluxes and focused on drought episodes by biome and climatic season. Globally P was ≈50% more sensitive to a drought event than R. Network-wide drought-induced decreases in carbon flux averaged −16.6 and −9.3 g C m−2 month−1 for P and R, i.e., drought events induced a net decline in the terrestrial sink. However, in evergreen forests and wetlands drought was coincident with an increase in P or R during parts of the growing season. The most robust relationships between carbon flux and EF occurred during climatic spring for FNEP and in climatic summer for P and R. Upscaling flux sensitivities to a global map showed that spatial patterns for all three carbon fluxes were linked to the distribution of croplands. Agricultural areas exhibited the highest sensitivity whereas the tropical region had minimal sensitivity to drought. Combining gridded flux sensitivities with their uncertainties and the spatial grid of FLUXNET revealed that a more robust quantification of carbon flux response to drought requires additional towers in all biomes of Africa and Asia as well as in the cropland, shrubland, savannah, and wetland biomes globally.
ISSN: 1354-1013

hal-01032076
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01032076
DOI : 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01991.x

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD American Geophysical Union
Résumé : International audience
Estimations of zenith total delays (ZTD) were obtained during postprocessing of a high-resolution (2.4 km) nonhydrostatic atmospheric model (Méso-NH). These estimations were used to determine their sensitivity with respect to formulations of atmospheric refractivity, the approximation of zenith hydrostatic delays (ZHD) deduced from ground pressure, and the contributions of hydrometeors. The factor k for the conversion of zenith wet delay (ZWD) to integrated water vapor (IWV) was examined. Méso-NH is applied here to the extreme flash flood event of 8–9 September 2002 in southeastern France. The use of the hydrostatic formulation (to infer ZHD) leads to an overestimation of up to 18 mm with respect to the vertical integration of refractivity. Delay contributions of hydrometeors simulated by the high-resolution model reached more than 70 mm (%11 kg/m 2 IWV) in the heart of the convective cells in the case of the extreme flood event. The mean variations of IWV due to the use of different conversion factors (k used to transform ZWD to IWV) are evaluated to be less than 0.3 kg/m 2. This is less than the mean underestimation of IWV by 0.6 kg/m 2 relative to the GPS-like evaluation of IWV using the hydrostatic formulation and the ground temperature. In this study we also use GPS ZTD observations to validate three different numerical simulations of this extreme flood event. The simulation with the best fit to the GPS observations is also in best agreement with the surface rainfall measurements.
ISSN: 2169-897X

hal-01417608
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01417608
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01417608/document
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01417608/file/Brenot_JGR_2006.pdf
DOI : 10.1029/2004JD005726

Résumé : Notre étude s’est proposée d’analyser l’incidence du paludisme et son évolution dans le temps et dans l’espace, ainsi que de rechercher les facteurs de risque d’accès palustres chez les enfants d’un village du Moyen-Oyapock (Camopi), peuplé d’Amérindiens wayampi et émerillon, d’une part, et d’un village du Haut-Maroni (Antecume Pata), peuplé d’Amérindiens wayana, d’autre part. L’approche a été multiple avec, pour chacun des deux sites d’étude :- Une analyse de survie (modèle de Cox) à partir des accès palustres confirmés biologiquement dans une cohorte d’enfants de moins de sept ans régulièrement suivis, ainsi qu’un questionnaire de type Connaissances, Attitudes et Pratiques (CAP), puis les caractéristiques des habitats et la description de leur environnement immédiat.- Une analyse spatiale avec une classification de l’occupation du sol à partir d’images satellites SPOT 5, l’extraction de variables environnementales d’intérêt, l’étude de leur effet sur la transmission du paludisme et la mise au point d’une méthode objective de sélection d’un rayon d’observation autour des habitations pour la caractérisation de l’environnement.- Une étude de séries temporelles (ARIMA) afin de déterminer l’effet des évènements climatiques et hydrologiques sur le paludisme, aux niveaux local et plus global (El Niño).Les taux d’incidence d’accès palustres sur la période 2001-2009 se sont révélés particulièrement élevés chez les jeunes enfants, notamment à Camopi avec une moyenne de 773‰ par année. Une diminution brutale de l’incidence a eue lieu en 2007 sur le Haut-Maroni et ce phénomène est observé à Camopi depuis 2010. Une prémunition se développe assez rapidement au cours de la vie (2-3 ans), surtout contre les reviviscences à Plasmodium vivax. Les facteurs environnementaux se sont avérés être les plus nombreux et les plus fortement liés à l’incidence palustre. En effet, le dégagement des alentours du carbet de toute végétation et une certaine distance de celui-ci à la forêt sont des facteurs protecteurs. La composante géographique est également apparue essentielle à Camopi avec une incidence qui variait selon le fleuve d’habitation et en fonction de la distance au hameau principal. Les facteurs météorologiques locaux (température et niveau du fleuve) se sont également révélés être liés à l’incidence du paludisme à court terme (0-3 mois). Par ailleurs, nos résultats ont permis d’émettre un certain nombre d’hypothèses quant à la transmission et au(x) vecteur(s) local(ux), et notamment de suggérer la participation d’un vecteur autre qu’An. darlingi dans la transmission du paludisme à Camopi. Nous avons également prouvé par ce travail que la télédétection et les systèmes d’information géographique sont très prometteurs pour la prise en compte de la dimension spatiale et environnementale dans l’étude des maladies transmissibles, notamment dans les zones d’accès difficile de Guyane.
The aim of our study was to analyze the incidence of malaria in children and its evolution through time and space, as well as to search for risk factors in a village in Mid-Oyapock (Camopi), populated by Amerindians Wayampi and Emerillon, on the one hand, and a village in Upper-Maroni (Antecume Pata), populated by Amerindians Wayana, on the other hand. The approach was multiple with, for both study sites:- A survival analysis (Cox modelling) completed out of biologically confirmed malaria attacks in a cohort of children under seven, as well as a Knowledge, Attitudes, Practices and Behavior (KAPB) questionnaire, and also the characteristics of the houses and the description of their immediate environment.- A spatial analysis with a land cover classification from SPOT 5 satellite images, the extraction of environmental variables, the study of their effect on malaria transmission and the development of an objective method for picking the proper observation horizon around houses in order to characterize the environment.- A time series study (ARIMA) to determine the effect of climatic and hydrological events on malaria at local and global (El Niño) scales.The incidence rates of malaria attacks during the period 2001-2009 were particularly high among young children, especially in Camopi with an average of 773‰ by year. A sharp decline in incidence occurred in 2007 on the Upper Maroni and this phenomenon has been observed in Camopi since 2010. An acquired immunity develops quite rapidly during the life (2-3 years old), especially against P. vivax relapses. Environmental factors were found to be the most strongly associated with malaria incidence. Indeed, living in a hut cleared from the surrounding vegetation and at a larger distance from the forest are protective factors. The geographic component also appeared essential in Camopi with an incidence which varied with the river of living and with the distance from the main hamlet. The local meteorological factors (temperature and river level) also proved to be linked to malaria incidence in the short term (0-3 months). Moreover, our results have allowed issuing a number of assumptions about the transmission and the local vector(s), in particular to suggest the involvement of another vector than An. darlingi in the malaria transmission in Camopi. We also proved by this work that remote sensing and geographic information systems hold great promise for the inclusion of the spatial and environmental dimensions in the study of transmitted diseases, especially in areas of difficult access in French Guiana.

http://www.theses.fr/2011AGUY0448/document