Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD IOP Publishing
Résumé : Tropical forests of the Guiana Shield are the most affected by gold-mining in South America,experiencing an exponential increase in deforestation since the early 2000’s.Using yearly deforestation data encompassing Guyana, Suriname, French Guiana and theBrazilian State of Amapá, we demonstrated a strong relationship between deforestation due togold-mining and gold-prices at the regional scale. In order to assess additional drivers ofdeforestation due to gold-mining, we focused on the national scale and highlighted theheterogeneity of the response to gold-prices under different political contexts. Deforestation dueto gold-mining over the Guiana Shield occurs mainly in Guyana and Suriname. On the contrary,past and current repressive policies in Amapá and French Guiana likely contribute to thedecorrelation of deforestation and gold prices. In this work, wefinally present a case studyfocusing on French Guiana and Suriname, two neighbouring countries with very different levelsof law enforcement against illegal gold-mining. We developed a modelling framework to estimatepotential deforestation leakages from French Guiana to Suriname in the border areas. Based onour assumptions, we estimated a decrease in deforestation due to gold-mining of approx. 4 300hectares in French Guiana and an increase of approx. 12 100 hectares in Suriname in response tothe active military repression of illegal gold-mining launched in French Guiana.Gold-mining in the Guiana Shield provides challenging questions regarding REDDþimplementation. These questions are discussed at the end of this study and are important topolicy makers who need to provide sustainable alternative employment to local populations inorder to ensure the effectiveness of environmental policies.
ISSN: 1748-9326

hal-01512075
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01512075
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01512075/document
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01512075/file/document%20%2828%29_%7B81107B08-30D1-44D2-877D-32F6DFAEF28A%7D.pdf
DOI : 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6082

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Springer Verlag (Germany) Springer Verlag
Résumé : Production rates in horizontal shale gas wells display declines that are controlled by the low permeability and the intrinsic heterogeneity of the shale matrix. We present an original multi-continuum approach that yields a physical model able to reproduce the complexity of the decreasing gas rates. The model describes the dynamics of gas rate as function of the physical reservoir parameters and geometry, while the shale matrix heterogeneity is accounted for by a stochastic description of transmissivity field. From the 3D (Dimensional) problem setting, including the heterogeneous shale matrix, the fractures generated by the hydrofracking operations, as well as the production well characteristics, we establish an effective upscaled 1D model for the gas pressures in fracture and matrix as well as the volumetric flux. We analyse the decline curves behaviour, and we identify the time scales that characterize the dynamics of the gas rate decline using explicit analytical Laplace space solutions of the upscaled process model. Asymptotically, the flux curves decrease exponentially, while in an intermediate regime we find a power-law behaviour, in which the flux scales with a power law in time as (t^{-beta }), where (beta ) reflects the medium heterogeneity. We use this solution to fit a set of real data displaying distinctly different decline trends and study the sensitivity of the model to the reservoir parameters in order to identify their respective controls at the different stages of the decline curve dynamics. Results indicate that the initial value of the gas rate is determined by the transmissivity of the fractures and the initial pressure of the gas in the shale matrix. The latter causes mainly a shift in the entire decline curve. The early time of decline curve shape is primarily controlled by the fracture properties (compressibility and transmissivity). During the main part of the economically valuable production times, i.e. before the production rate drops exponentially, the decline curve is strongly controlled by the properties of the shale rocks including their heterogeneity, which is modelled by two parameters describing the non-Fickian pressure diffusion effects in a stochastic framework.
ISSN: 0169-3913

hal-01217247
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01217247
DOI : 10.1007/s11242-015-0504-y

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Intech
Résumé : International audience
The massive integration of sustainable energies into electrical grids (non-interconnectedor connected) is a major problem due to their stochastic character revealed by strongfluctuations at all scales. In this paper, the scaling behaviour or power law correlationsand the nature of scaling behaviour of sustainable resource data such as flow velocity,atmospheric wind speed, solar global solar radiation and sustainable energy such as,wind power output, are highlighted. For the first time, Fourier power spectral densitiesare estimated for each dataset. We show that the power spectrum densities obtained areclose to the 5/3 Kolmogorov spectrum. Furthermore, the multifractal and intermittentproperties of sustainable resource and energy data have been revealed by the concavityof the scaling exponent function. The proposed analysis frame allows a full descriptionof fluctuations of processes considered. A good knowledge of the dynamic of fluctua-tions is crucial to management of the integration of sustainable energies into a grid.
Sustainable Energy - Technological Issues, Applications and Case Studies

hal-01528087
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01528087
DOI : 10.5772/106341

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Wiley
Résumé :  
Positive aboveground biomass trends have been reported from old-growth forests across the Amazon basin and hypothesized to reflect a large-scale response to exterior forcing. The result could, however, be an artefact due to a sampling bias induced by the nature of forest growth dynamics. Here, we characterize statistically the disturbance process in Amazon old-growth forests as recorded in 135 forest plots of the RAINFOR network up to 2006, and other independent research programmes, and explore the consequences of sampling artefacts using a data-based stochastic simulator. Over the observed range of annual aboveground biomass losses, standard statistical tests show that the distribution of biomass losses through mortality follow an exponential or near-identical Weibull probability distribution and not a power law as assumed by others. The simulator was parameterized using both an exponential disturbance probability distribution as well as a mixed exponential-power law distribution to account for potential large-scale blowdown events. In both cases, sampling biases turn out to be too small to explain the gains detected by the extended RAINFOR plot network. This result lends further support to the notion that currently observed biomass gains for intact forests across the Amazon are actually occurring over large scales at the current time, presumably as a response to climate change.
ISSN: 1354-1013

hal-01032162
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01032162
DOI : 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01891.x

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD American Geophysical Union
Résumé : International audience
Detection and attribution of human influence on sea level rise are important topics that have not yet been explored in depth. We question whether the sea level changes (SLC) over the past century were natural in origin. SLC exhibit power law long-term correlations. By estimating Hurst exponent through Detrended Fluctuation Analysis and by applying statistics of Lennartz and Bunde [2009], we search the lower bounds of statistically significant external sea level trends in longest tidal records worldwide. We provide statistical evidences that the observed SLC, at global and regional scales, is beyond its natural internal variability. The minimum anthropogenic sea level trend (MASLT) contributes to the observed sea level rise more than 50% in New York, Baltimore, San Diego, Marseille, and Mumbai. A MASLT is about 1 mm/yr in global sea level reconstructions that is more than half of the total observed sea level trend during the XXth century.
ISSN: 0094-8276

hal-01336190
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01336190
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01336190/document
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01336190/file/BECKER2014a.pdf
DOI : 10.1002/2014GL061027

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
In this paper, we have presented a spectral and a multifractal analysis performed on 412 time series of wind speed data each of duration of 350 s and sampled at 20 Hz. The average spectrum for the wind speed displays a scaling behavior, in the inertial range, over two decades, with b ¼ 1:68 close to the Kolmogorov value À 5/3. A multifractal analysis has been motivated by the presence of scaling invariance in data set. Then we have considered their scaling properties in the framework of fully developed turbulence and multifractal cascades. The results obtained for wind speed confirm that the exponent scaling function z V ðqÞ is nonlinear and concave. This exponent characterizes the scaling functions in the inertial range indicating that the wind speed is intermittent and multifractal. Moreover the theoretical quadratic relation for lognormal multifractals is well fitted. We investigate the consequence for wind energy production: we generate stochastic simulations of a multifractal random walk, and using a power curve derived from experimental data, we generate the associated power time series. We show that, due to the saturation of the power curve for large speed values, when the input time series (turbulent wind speed) is multifractal, the output can be almost monofractal.
ISSN: 0167-6105

hal-01527886
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01527886
DOI : 10.1016/j.jweia.2012.06.002

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : Displacement-length data from faults, joints, veins, igneous dikes, shear deformation bands, and compaction bands define two groups. The first group, having a power-law scaling relation with a slope of n = 1 and therefore a linear dependence of maximum displacement and discontinuity length (D-max = gamma L), comprises faults and shear (non-compactional or non-dilational) deformation bands. These shearing-mode structures, having shearing strains that predominate over volumetric strains across them, grow under conditions of constant driving stress, with the magnitude of near-tip stress on the same order as the rock's yield strength in shear. The second group, having a power-law scaling relation with a slope of n = 0.5 and therefore a dependence of maximum displacement on the square root of discontinuity length (D-max = alpha L-0.5), comprises joints, veins, igneous dikes, cataclastic deformation bands, and compaction bands. These opening- and closing-mode structures grow under conditions of constant fracture toughness, implying significant amplification of near-tip stress within a zone of small-scale yielding at the discontinuity tip. Volumetric changes accommodated by grain fragmentation, and thus control of propagation by the rock's fracture toughness, are associated with scaling of predominantly dilational and compactional structures with an exponent of n = 0.5.
ISSN: 0191-8141

hal-00411173
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00411173
DOI : 10.1016/j.jsg.2008.08.001

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
In order to reveal the structural properties at small scale within a geological unit apparently homogeneous at large scale, we explore the stochastic components of petrophysical measurements recorded in a borehole drilled through the Cretaceous siliclastic units of the South-eastern Basin of France. First, we analyse the instantaneous fluctuations of gamma ray log measurements searching for scaling laws in its power spectrum. Power spectra indicate a scaling behaviour with average exponent beta a values mostly falling in the range 1
ISSN: 0920-4105

hal-00496425
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00496425
DOI : 10.1016/j.petrol.2009.11.001

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Résumé : Extensional fault systems in the Earth's crust can exhibit two end-member geometries that we identify as distributed and localized faulting regimes. A satellite image analysis of fault populations from the Main Ethiopian Rift-Afar area reveals that the rift architecture contains these two faulting regimes. The occurrence of these regimes reveals a jump in the scale of fault segmentation and linkage. Strain localization at rift border zones exhibits particularly large-scale fault linkage and a power law size distribution. This regime replaces prior distributed fault systems, showing small-scale fault linkage and an exponential size distribution. The distributed faulting is interpreted as confined to the thick trap basalt carapace. We show that continental fault systems can develop by a combination of these two geometries, and we demonstrate how to quantitatively decipher the jump between them.
ISSN: 0278-7407

hal-00411147
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00411147
DOI : 10.1029/2007TC002148

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD
Résumé : Les variations de la ligne de rivage à toutes les échelles comportent des informations fondamentales sur la dynamique du système côtier et son évolution morphologique. Nous avons étudié l'évolution de la ligne de rivage de la côte algéroise sur une longueur de 60 km, allant de l'embouchure de l'oued Réghaïa à l'est, à l'embouchure de l'oued Mazafran à l'ouest. Les variations de la ligne de rivage le long de cette portion côtière ont été obtenues à partir de photographies aériennes orthorectifiées et géo-référencées prises entre 1959 à 2003. Les fluctuations du taux net de variation sont évaluées durant les périodes 1959 -1999 pour les lignes de la côte ouest et de la Baie d'Alger, et 1959- 2003 pour la côte est. L'analyse spectrale par Transformée de Fourier des fluctuations du taux net de variation pour les trois lignes de rivage, montre un comportement en loi d'échelle, caractéristique des signaux stochastiques non stationnaires auto affines. Cette observation nous a conduit à utiliser une Transformée en Ondelettes Continue comme outil d'analyse des fluctuations des lignes de côte le mieux adapté pour quantifier l'existence de corrélations à longue portée associées aux propriétés d'invariance d'échelle que présentent ces signaux. En effet, les exposants de la loi d'échelle estimés par Transformée en Ondelettes Continue pour chacune des trois lignes de rivage qui font l'objet de l'étude varient localement dans l'intervalle [1,23, 1,80], confirmant ainsi les propriétés d'autoaffinité associées aux corrélations à longue portée de ces fluctuations. L'observation des propriétés d'auto-affinité suggère fortement que ces corrélations sont liées aux phénomènes d'érosion- accrétion de l'évolution du trait de côte, en relation avec le processus de réplication du transport des sédiments par un modèle stochastique de diffusion. Dans ce contexte, le point d'intérêt de notre démarche est d'apporter des éléments prédictifs de l'évolution morphologique de cette côte à l'échelle décennale pour une meilleure gestion et prévision des risques littoraux.
Bulletin du Service Géologique National

hal-00463846
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00463846

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
Regional-scale deformation taking place in a strongly anisotropic, yet homogeneous metapelitic protolith during an apparently single tectonic event was systematically investigated as a function of the distance to the main tectonic contact (i.e., the Filabres shear zone, a major detachment in the Betic Cordilleras, Spain). The density of C3' shear bands (or extensional crenulation cleavage) reworking the earlier S2 schistosity increases exponentially towards the contact, in parallel with the decrease in the size of the shear domains. Systematic variations in angles and shape ratios are also reported. Deformation and age patterns, however, suggest that this spectacular trend at least partly results from a progressive localization of the deformation through time. This fossilized shear strain gradient was thus produced somewhat diachronously. Such shear strain patterns nevertheless provide a mean to constrain the rheological properties for such weak lithologies and a mean to better understand crustal deformation.
ISSN: 0191-8141

insu-00545043
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00545043
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00545043/document
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00545043/file/JSGagardetal2.pdf
DOI : 10.1016/j.jsg.2010.11.011

Résumé : Implementation of ecosystem-based approaches to marine management points to several shared objectives between conservation and fishery management that require better knowledge of the life history of the exploited resources, elucidation of the information encoded in the calcified tissues (otoliths, scales, bones, shells, and corals) of marine and freshwater organisms, and support for knowledge-based, sustainable ocean management and use. Calcified tissues have been employed since the 19th century to gain knowledge of life traits, population structure, and environmental relationships of fish and molluscs. Breakthrough advances include the discovery by Pannella (1971) of the daily growth increments and the discovery by Radtke (1984) of otolith tracer approaches, resulting in an exponential growth of publications and four dedicated international symposia. IOS2014 will be the fifth in a series of independent symposia convened since 1993, to encourage the exchange of information and expertise, and promote the development of new techniques and applications for otolith-based analysis in ecology, management, and conservation. This international forum is the centre for the exchange of information on developments in the field. New techniques of analysis, statistical treatment, and indeed new areas of application are all presented in this forum. The IOS series started in Hilton Head (USA) in 1993, followed by IOS1998 in Bergen (Norway), IOS2004 Townsville (Australia), and the IOS2009 Symposium held in Monterey (USA). In general, attendance ranged between 250–350 participants. IOS2009 counted 268 registrants from 36 countries, despite the economic crisis.

Droits : ICES - All Rights Reserved
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00221/33260/31736.pdf
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00221/33260/

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
In this paper, we have presented a spectral and a multifractal analysis performed on 412 time series of wind speed data each of duration of 350 s and sampled at 20 Hz. The average spectrum for the wind speed displays a scaling behavior, in the inertial range, over two decades, with β=1.68 close to the Kolmogorov value −5/3. A multifractal analysis has been motivated by the presence of scaling invariance in data set. Then we have considered their scaling properties in the framework of fully developed turbulence and multifractal cascades. The results obtained for wind speed confirm that the exponent scaling function ζV(q) is nonlinear and concave. This exponent characterizes the scaling functions in the inertial range indicating that the wind speed is intermittent and multifractal. Moreover the theoretical quadratic relation for lognormal multifractals is well fitted. We investigate the consequence for wind energy production: we generate stochastic simulations of a multifractal random walk, and using a power curve derived from experimental data, we generate the associated power time series. We show that, due to the saturation of the power curve for large speed values, when the input time series (turbulent wind speed) is multifractal, the output can be almost monofractal.
ISSN: 0167-6105

hal-00779049
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00779049
DOI : 10.1016/j.jweia.2012.06.002

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD American Geophysical Union
Résumé : International audience
Both flow field heterogeneity and mass transfer between mobile and immobile domains have been studied separately for explaining observed anomalous transport. Here we investigate non-Fickian transport using high-resolution 3-D X-ray microtomographic images of Berea sandstone containing microporous cement with pore size below the setup resolution. Transport is computed for a set of representative elementary volumes and results from advection and diffusion in the resolved macroporosity (mobile domain) and diffusion in the microporous phase (immobile domain) where the effective diffusion coefficient is calculated from the measured local porosity using a phenomenological model that includes a porosity threshold ( inline image) below which diffusion is null and the exponent n that characterizes tortuosity-porosity power-law relationship. We show that both flow field heterogeneity and microporosity trigger anomalous transport. Breakthrough curve (BTC) tailing is positively correlated to microporosity volume and mobile-immobile interface area. The sensitivity analysis showed that the BTC tailing increases with the value of inline image, due to the increase of the diffusion path tortuosity until the volume of the microporosity becomes negligible. Furthermore, increasing the value of n leads to an increase in the standard deviation of the distribution of effective diffusion coefficients, which in turn results in an increase of the BTC tailing. Finally, we propose a continuous time random walk upscaled model where the transition time is the sum of independently distributed random variables characterized by specific distributions. It allows modeling a 1-D equivalent macroscopic transport honoring both the control of the flow field heterogeneity and the multirate mass transfer between mobile and immobile domains.
ISSN: 0043-1397

hal-01278285
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01278285
DOI : 10.1002/2015WR017645

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
Mantle noble gases record important and ancient isotopic heterogeneities, which fundamentally influence our understanding of mantle geodynamics, yet these heterogeneities are difficult to fully interpret without understanding the basic mechanisms of noble gas storage and transport in mantle minerals. A series of annealing experiments that mimic mantle conditions (i.e. sub-solidus with natural, polycrystalline, texturally equilibrated olivines at low noble gas partial pressures) show that intergranular interfaces (grain boundaries) are major hosts for noble gases in the mantle, and that interfaces can dramatically fractionate noble gases from their radio-parents (U + Th and K). Therefore, noble gas isotopic heterogeneities in the mantle could result from grain size variations. Fine-grained lithologies (mylonites and ultramylonites, for example) with more grain boundaries will have lower U/3He ratios (compared to a coarse grained equivalent), which, over time, will preserve higher 3He/4He ratios. As predicted by theory of points defect diffusivity, these results show that noble gas diffusion along interfaces is different from those in the grain lattice itself at low temperatures. However, for grain size relevant of the Earth's mantle, the resulting effective correlated activation energies (Ea)(Ea) and pre-exponential factors (Do/a2)(Do/a2) produce similar diffusivities at mantle temperatures for interface- and lattice-hosted helium. Therefore, grain boundaries do not significantly affect helium transport at mantle conditions and length scales.
ISSN: 0012-821X

hal-01236013
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01236013
DOI : 10.1016/j.epsl.2015.08.024