Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Oxford University Press (OUP): Policy P - Oxford Open Option A Oxford University Press (OUP)
Résumé : International audience
The Pyrenean mountain range is a slowly deforming belt with continuous and moderate seismic activity. To quantify its deformation field, we present the velocity field estimated from a GPS survey of the Pyrenees spanning 18 yr. The PotSis and ResPyr networks, including a total of 85 GPS sites, were installed and first measured in 1992 and 1995–1997, respectively, and remeasured in 2008 and 2010. We obtain a deformation field with velocities less than 1 mm yr−1 across the range. The estimated velocities for individual stations do not differ significantly from zero with 95 per cent confidence. Even so, we estimate a maximum extensional horizontal strain rate of 2.0 ± 1.7 nanostrain per year in a N–S direction in the western part of the range. We do not interpret the vertical displacements due to their large uncertainties. In order to compare the horizontal strain rates with the seismic activity, we analyse a set of 194 focal mechanisms using three methods: (i) the ‘r’ factor relating their P and T axes, (ii) the stress tensors obtained by fault slip inversion and (iii) the strain-rate tensors. Stress and strain-rate tensors are estimated for: (i) the whole data set, (ii) the eastern and western parts of the range separately, and (iii) eight zones, which are defined based on the seismicity and the tectonic patterns of the Pyrenees. Each of these analyses reveals a lateral variation of the deformation style from compression and extension in the east to extension and strike-slip in the west of the range. Although the horizontal components of the strain-rate tensors estimated from the seismic data are slightly smaller in magnitude than those computed from the GPS velocity field, they are consistent within the 2σ uncertainties. Furthermore, the orientations of their principal axes agree with the mapped active faults.
ISSN: 0956-540X

hal-01171752
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01171752
DOI : 10.1093/gji/ggv052

Éditeur(s) : Oxford Univ Press
Résumé : Spatio-seasonal explicit simulation models can predict the impact of spatial management measures on marine fish populations and fishing activities. As fisheries are complex systems, fisheries simulation models are often complex, with many uncertain parameters. Here, the methodology is provided to deliver fishery diagnostics within an uncertainty context using a complex simulation tool. A sensitivity analysis of the model is performed on model outputs using partial least-squares to identify the most sensitive parameters. The impact of several management measures is then simulated using a statistical simulation design taking into account the uncertainty of the selected sensitive parameters. This approach was applied to the Bay of Biscay anchovy stock using the ISIS-Fish (Integration of Spatial Information for Simulation of Fisheries) model to assess the impact of imposing marine protected areas (MPAs) conditionally on parameter uncertainty. The diagnostic appeared to be highly sensitive to the mortality of larvae and juveniles, growth, and reproduction. The uncertainty of the values of these parameters did not permit any of the simulated MPA designs to be proposed. However, according to anchovy catch and biomass, the simulations allowed the low impact of closure duration to be shown and underscored the utility of protecting such key processes as spawning.
Ices Journal Of Marine Science (1054-3139) (Oxford Univ Press), 2010-07 , Vol. 67 , N. 5 , P. 1063-1075

Droits : 2010 ICES/CIEM. Oxford journals
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00011/12234/9281.pdf
DOI:10.1093/icesjms/fsq002
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00011/12234/

Éditeur(s) : Agrocampus-ouest
Résumé : Quantitative evaluations of management measure impact on resource and fleet viability are required to provide diagnostics and feed decision process. Fisheries are complex systems where numerous dynamics interact at various spatial and temporal scales. This complexity and the difficulty to observe marine systems are responsible for the high uncertainty surrounding fishery functioning that makes it hard to identify adequate management measures. The increasing consideration of uncertainties in diagnostics argues in favor of robust management measures rather than optimal management measures. Identifying robust management measures requires the development of models that account for complexity and uncertainty in the description and prediction of management impact as well as the identification of synthetic descriptors (indicators) of the state and dynamic of the system. The aim of this work is to propose generic methodologies for developing such tools. The methodological developments are applied to the pelagic fishery of the bay of Biscay. This fishery mainly focused on anchovy and was highly impacted by fishing ban on this species since 2005. Causes for anchovy drop in biomass either environmental or due to fishing are poorly understood, making management decision much harder in a critical environmental and economic context. The adequacy of traditional management using TAC is questioned and additional spatial management measures are proposed.
Des évaluations quantitatives de l’impact de mesures de gestion sur les ressources et la viabilité des flottilles sont nécessaires pour établir des diagnostics et pour fournir des éléments d’orientation pour la gestion des pêcheries. Les pêcheries sont des systèmes complexes mettant en œuvre de nombreuses dynamiques à des échelles de temps et d’espace très variables et interagissant très fortement entre elles. Cette complexité et la difficulté d’observer les systèmes marins, conduit à une grande incertitude sur leur fonctionnement qui rend difficile la détermination des mesures de gestion adaptées. La reconnaissance de ces incertitudes, plaide de plus en plus en faveur d’une gestion robuste plutôt qu’optimale. Déterminer la robustesse des mesures de gestion nécessite le développement de modèles de description et de prédiction capable d’intégrer la complexité et l’incertitude du système, ainsi que d’outils de description synthétiques (indicateurs) de l’état et de la dynamique de la pêcherie à partir d’observations. L’objectif de ce travail est de proposer des méthodes génériques pour le développement de tels outils. Ces développements méthodologiques sont appliqués à la pêcherie pélagique du golfe de Gascogne. Cette pêcherie ciblant principalement l’anchois a été fortement perturbée par la fermeture de la pêche à cette espèce en 2005. Le déterminisme environnemental et le rôle de la pêche dans le déclin de la population d’anchois sont mal compris ce qui rend difficile la prise de décision dans un contexte économique et écologique critique. La gestion traditionnelle par TAC pourrait s’avérer insuffisante pour permettre l’exploitation durable et des mesures spatialisées sont envisagées en complément.

Droits : 2010 The Author, UEB
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00025/13630/10712.pdf
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00025/13630/

Éditeur(s) : University of Tasmania, Université de Bretagne Occidentale
Résumé : Empirical evidence and the theoretical literature both point to stock sustainability and the protection of marine biodiversity as important fisheries management issues. Decision-support tools are increasingly required to operationalize the ecosystem-based approach to fisheries management. These tools need to integrate (i) ecological and socio-economic drivers of changes in fisheries and ecosystems; (ii) complex dynamics; (iii) deal with various sources of uncertainty; and (iv) incorporate multiple, rather than single objectives. The stochastic co-viability approach addresses the trade-offs associated with balancing ecological, economic and social objectives throughout time, and takes into account the complexity and uncertainty of the dynamic interactions which characterize exploited ecosystems and biodiversity. This thesis proposes an application of this co-viability approach to the sustainable management of mixed fisheries, using two contrasting case studies: the French Bay of Biscay (BoB) demersal mixed fishery and the Australian Northern Prawn Fishery (NPF). Both fisheries entail direct and indirect impacts on mixed species communities while also generating large economic returns. Their sustainability is therefore a major societal concern. A dynamic bio-economic modelling approach is used to capture the key biological and economic processes governing these fisheries, combining age- (BoB) or size- (NPF) structured models of multiple species with recruitment uncertainty, and multiple fleets (BoB) or fishing strategies (NPF). Economic uncertainties relating to input and output prices are also considered. The bioeconomic models are used to investigate how the fisheries can operate within a set of constraints relating to the preservation of Spawning Stock Biomasses (BoB) or Spawning Stock Size Indices (NPF) of a set of key target species, maintenance of the economic profitability of various fleets (BoB) or the fishery as a whole (NPF), and limitation of fishing impacts on the broader biodiversity (NPF), under a range of alternative scenarios and management strategies. Results suggest that under a status quo strategy both fisheries can be considered as biologically sustainable, while socio-economically (and ecologically in the NPF case) at risk. Despite very different management contexts and objectives, viable management strategies suggest a reduction in the number of vessels in both cases. The BoB simulations allow comparison of the trade-offs associated with different allocations of this decrease across fleets. Notably, co-viability management strategies entail a more equitable allocation of effort reductions compared to strategies aiming at maximizing economic yield. In the NPF, species catch diversification strategies are shown to perform well in controlling the levels of economic risk, by contrast with more specialized fishing strategies. Furthermore analyses emphasize the importance to the fishing industry of balancing global economic performance with inter-annual economic variability. Promising future developments based on this research involve the incorporation of a broader set of objectives including social dimensions, as well as the integration of ecological interactions, to better address the needs of ecosystem-based approaches to the sustainable harvesting of marine biodiversity.
L’objectif général de la thèse est de modéliser les principaux processus biologiques et économiques régissant des pêcheries multi-espèces et multi-flottilles afin de proposer des stratégies viables pour la gestion durable de ces pêcheries mixtes, dans un contexte stochastique et multiobjectif. Plus spécifiquement, cette thèse utilise des analyses de co-viabilité stochastique pour étudier les arbitrages entre des objectifs contradictoires de gestion (conservation, et viabilité économique et sociale) des pêcheries mixtes. Deux pêcheries mixtes sont analysées dans cette thèse: la pêcherie française mixte démersale du golfe de Gascogne et la pêcherie crevettière australienne du Nord (NPF). Ces deux pêcheries sont multi-espèces, et utilisent des stratégies multiples de pêche, induisant des impacts directs et indirects sur les écosystèmes. Cette thèse propose une application de la co-viabilité stochastique à ces deux cas, en prenant en compte leur histoire, leur contexte socio-politique et les différences dans les stratégies et objectifs de gestion. Les résultats suggèrent que le status quo peut être considéré comme une stratégie biologiquement durable mais socio économiquement à risque dans les deux pêcheries (ainsi qu’à risque écologique dans le cas de la pêcherie australienne). Les simulations réalisées pour le golfe de Gascogne permettent de comparer les arbitrages associés à différentes réductions de capacités par flottille et de montrer qu’il existe des solutions de gestion permettant la co-viabilité du système (viabilité biologique des différentes espèces considérées et viabilité socio-économique des flottilles) contrairement à des stratégies de gestion mono-spécifiques ou basées sur la maximisation de la rente. Dans la pêcherie crevettière australienne, l’analyse montre que les stratégies de diversification permettent de limiter le risque économique contrairement aux stratégies plus spécialisées.

Droits : UBO, Univ. Tasmania
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00206/31731/30134.pdf
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00206/31731/

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Wiley
Résumé : The allocation and cycling of carbon (C) within forests is an important component of the biospheric C cycle, but is particularly understudied within tropical forests. We synthesise reported and unpublished results from three lowland rainforest sites in Amazonia (in the regions of Manaus, Tapajos and Caxiuana), all major sites of the Large-Scale Biosphere-Atmosphere Programme (LBA). We attempt a comprehensive synthesis of the C stocks, nutrient status and, particularly, the allocation and internal C dynamics of all three sites. The calculated net primary productivities (NPP) are 10.1 +/- 1.4 Mg C ha(-1) yr(-1) (Manaus), 14.4 +/- 1.3 Mg C ha(-1) yr(-1) (Tapajos) and 10.0 +/- 1.2 Mg C ha(-1) yr(-1) (Caxiuana). All errors bars report standard errors. Soil and leaf nutrient analyses indicate that Tapajos has significantly more plant-available phosphorus and calcium. Autotrophic respiration at all three sites (14.9-21.4 Mg C ha yr(-1)) is more challenging to measure, with the largest component and greatest source of uncertainty being leaf dark respiration. Comparison of measured soil respiration with that predicted from C cycling measurements provides an independent constraint. It shows general good agreement at all three sites, with perhaps some evidence for measured soil respiration being less than expected. Twenty to thirty percent of fixed C is allocated belowground. Comparison of gross primary productivity (GPP), derived from ecosystem flux measurements with that derived from component studies (NPP plus autotrophic respiration) provides an additional crosscheck. The two approaches are in good agreement, giving increased confidence in both approaches to estimating GPP. The ecosystem carbon-use efficiency (CUEs), the ratio of NPP to GPP, is similar at Manaus (0.34 +/- 0.10) and Caxiuana (0.32 +/- 0.07), but may be higher at Tapajos (0.49 +/- 0.16), although the difference is not significant. Old growth or infertile tropical forests may have low CUE compared with recently disturbed and/or fertile forests.
ISSN: 1354-1013

hal-01032150
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01032150
DOI : 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01780.x

Éditeur(s) : Pêche thonière et dispositifs de concentration de poissons, Caribbean-Martinique, 15-19 Oct 1999 15-19 octobre 1999
Résumé : The development of the FAD gave rise to technical problems owing to their conception, their setting spot and of their utilisation. Failings generated by the unreliability of components or the uncertain repair precariousness, those can prove to be here more and more expensive with the progression of the ageing of devices and reasons of their loss. For as various domains that aerospace or the fishing deck layout, the engineering has functional analysis tools that permit to reduce conception uncertainties of systems by the mean of a hierarchical classification of function values of components. The application of one of these techniques, the FMEA, Failure Mode and Effects Analysis, to the study of reasons of FAD loss in La Reunion describes perfectly everything that this type of method can bring to the appraisal in fishing technology. This preventive analysis method assess the potential risks integrates perfectly in the mind of a precaution approach as it would agree to see to apply to the FADs and to their exploitation.Original Abstract: Le developpement des DCP a entraine l'apparition de problemes techniques, issus tant de leur conception, de leur lieu d'implantation que de leur utilisation. Defaillances generees par le manque de fiabilite des composants ou la precarite de reparations aleatoires, celles-ci peuvent s'averer de plus en plus couteuses au fur et a mesure du vieillissement des systemes et cause a terme de leur perte. Pour des domaines aussi divers que l'aerospatiale ou l'amenagement de pont de peche, l'ingenierie dispose d'outils d'analyse fonctionnelle qui, par le biais d'une hierarchisation des valeurs des fonctions de chaque element des systemes etudies, permettent de reduire les incertitudes de la conception. L'application d'une de ces techniques, l'Amdec, analyse des modes de defaillance et de criticite, a l'etude des causes des pertes de DCP a La Reunion illustre parfaitement tout ce que ce type de methode peut apporter a l'expertise en technologie des peches. Cette methode d'analyse preventive qui recense et met en evidence les risques potentiels s'integre parfaitement dans l'esprit d'une approche de precaution telle que celle qu'il conviendrait de voir appliquer aux DCP et a leur exploitation.

Droits : Ifremer
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00042/15289/12675.pdf
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00042/15289/

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD American Geophysical Union
Résumé : International audience
Knowing the slip amplitudes that large earthquakes produced in prehistorical times is one key to anticipate the magnitude of large forthcoming events. It is long known that the morphology is preserving remnants of paleoearthquake slips in the form of fault-offset landforms. However, the measured offsets that can be attributed to the most recent paleoearthquakes are generally few along a fault, so that they rarely allow recovering the slip distributions and largest slips of these earthquakes. We acquired ~1 m resolution airborne lidar data on a 30 km stretch of a fast-slipping strike-slip fault (eastern Hope Fault, New Zealand) located in a region of high alluvial dynamics where landforms are rapidly evolving. Data analysis reveals >200 offset landforms; only 30% allow a good to moderate quality offset measurement. From these good to moderate quality measures, we recover the slip-length distributions and largest slips of the four most recent large paleoearthquakes and find evidence of 4–6 prior events. The record suggests that large earthquake slip recurred in multiples of about 4 m along the 30 km stretch. Although they have larger uncertainties, the more numerous lower-quality offsets that we also measured reveal a similar earthquake slip record. This shows that, although offset landforms are partly degraded in dynamically active landscapes, they store valuable information on paleoearthquake slips. This information might be recovered provided that the morphology is analyzed at high resolution and " continuously " over a significant fault length. Remote lidar data are powerful to perform such analyses.
ISSN: 2169-9313

insu-01469219
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01469219
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01469219/document
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-01469219/file/Manighetti_et_al-2015-Journalsur Geophysical_Research__Solid_Earth.pdf
DOI : 10.1002/2014JB011787

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
Recent research has demonstrated the importance of dermal exposure for some semivolatile organic compounds (SVOCs) present in the gas phase of indoor air. Though models for estimating dermal intake from gaseous SVOCs exist, their predictions can be subject to variations in input parameters, which can lead to large variation in exposure estimations. In this sensitivity analysis for a steady state model, we aimed to assess these variations and their determinants using probabilistic Monte Carlo sampling for 8 SVOCs from different chemical families: phthalates, bisphenols, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), organophosphorus (OPs), organochlorines (OCs), synthetic musks, polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) and polybromodiphenylethers (PBDEs). Indoor SVOC concentrations were found to be the most influential parameters. Both Henry's law constant (H) and octanol/water partition coefficient (Kow) uncertainty also had significant influence. While exposure media properties such as volume fraction of organic matter in the particle phase (fom-part), particle density (ρpart), concentration ([TSP]) and transport coefficient (ɣd) had a slight influence for some compounds, human parameters such as body weight (W), body surface area (A) and daily exposure (t) make a marginal or null contribution to the variance of dermal intake for a given age group. Inclusion of a parameter sensitivity analysis appears essential to reporting uncertainties in dermal exposure assessment.
ISSN: 0160-4120

hal-01635769
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01635769
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01635769/document
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01635769/file/Pelletier%202017%20Dermal%20expo%20rev2.pdf
DOI : 10.1016/j.envint.2017.02.005

Éditeur(s) : Université des Antilles Études caribéennes
Résumé : Homosexuality stands at the center of the last two centuries’ struggle to understand human sexuality; the HIV epidemic among gay men has cemented that in place. And the era of HIV/AIDS finally brought the inherent uncertainties and conflicts in our understanding of human sexuality to the surface and opened the way to re-think sex, identity, and sexual health. I discuss these re-conceptualizations, providing a way around the analytic dichotomies by embracing our embodiment in ecological contexts. In concluding, I suggest how to get out of our “heads” where linguistic binaries dominate our thinking with the superior/inferior evaluations endemic to self-other comparisons. Through our thick, sensuous experience, we can live in the present moment as one embodied person among other interconnected bodies without psychological games of one-up and one-down.
L’homosexualité se trouve au centre de la mobilisation pour comprendre la sexualité humaine, vieille maintenant de deux siècles. L’épidémie du SIDA a endurci cette mobilisation et a remis sur le devant de la scène les incertitudes et les conflits qui entourent notre approche de la sexualité humaine, offrant une nouvelle manière de penser la sexualité, l’identité et la santé sexuelle. J’analyse cette re-conceptualisation dans un contexte écologique qui contourne les dichotomies analytiques. En conclusion, je suggère une manière de nous libérer des binarismes linguistiques qui nous emprisonnent dans le besoin endémique de s’évaluer par rapport aux autres en termes de supériorité et d’infériorité. En reconnaissant la signifiance de notre expérience sensuelle, nous pouvons vivre le moment présent et établir des connexions avec les autres sans sombrer mentalement dans un rapport de supériorité ou d’infériorité.

Droits : info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
urn:doi:10.4000/etudescaribeennes.5922
http://journals.openedition.org/etudescaribeennes/5922

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Royal Society of Chemistry
Résumé : International audience
Low-level water measurements of geological materials are fundamental in understanding the volatile inventories of the Earth from the mantle to crustal reservoirs. Here we describe the development of microanalytical techniques using the new SHRIMP SI ion microprobe to measure the abundances of OH− (as a proxy for water) in volcanic glass and nominally anhydrous minerals (NAMs). Samples were first analysed at the Carnegie Institute of Washington (CIW) on their Cameca ims-6f with calibrations based on previous FTIR and manometry analyses. SHRIMP SI is a large geometry ion microprobe and is currently mainly used for O and S isotope analyses. The analytical protocol used here incorporates multiple collection of 16O− and 16O1H− allowing rapid measurements. A single calibration line incorporating all glasses and NAMs for the SHRIMP SI allows calibration of 16O1H−/16O− to H2O over a wide range in concentration (50 to 15 000 ppm H2O). This calibration line has around a 10% uncertainty, which appears to be limited only by sample heterogeneity. The current background for SHRIMP analysis is between 20–40 ppm but this is expected to improve with improved pumping on the source chamber. A current limitation to water analysis of NAM samples, by any technique, is having a range of standard materials to enable OH− calibration to absolute H2O concentrations. Data are presented for 7 NAM samples (2 olivines, 2 orthopyroxenes and 3 clinopyroxenes) that appear to be promising as potential standards for international laboratory H2O measurements. These NAM samples have been analysed and characterised here by SHRIMP SI, FTIR, EMP and the Cameca ims-6f ion microprobe at CIW. Four of these samples have previously been measured by manometry to determine absolute H2O concentrations.
ISSN: 0267-9477

hal-01243514
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01243514
DOI : 10.1039/c5ja00047e

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : High-precision Ni isotopic variations are reported for the metal phase of equilibrated and unequilibrated ordinary chondrites, carbonaceous chondrites, iron meteorites, mesosiderites, and pallasites. We also report new Zn and Cu isotopic data for some of these samples and combine them with literature Fe, Cu, and Zn isotope data to constrain the fractionation history of metals during nebular (vapor/solid) and planetary (metal/sulfide/silicate) phase changes. The observed variations of the Ni-62/Ni-58, Ni-61/Ni-58, and Ni-60/Ni-58 ratios vary linearly with mass difference and define isotope fractionation lines in common with terrestrial samples. This implies that Ni was derived from a single homogeneous reservoir. While no Ni-60 anomaly is detected within the analytical uncertainties, Ni isotopic fractionation up to 0.45 parts per thousand per mass-difference unit is observed. The isotope compositions of Ni and Zn in chondrites are positively correlated. We suggest that, in ordinary chondrites, exchange between solid phases, in particular metal and silicates, and vapor followed by mineral sorting during accretion are the main processes controlling these isotopic variations. The positive correlation between Ni and Zn isotope compositions contrasts with a negative correlation between Ni (and Zn) and Cu isotope compositions, which, when taken together, do not favor a simple kinetic interpretation. The observed transition element similarities between different groups of chondrites and iron meteorites are consistent with the genetic relationships inferred from oxygen isotopes (IIIA/pallasites and IVA/L chondrites). Copper is an exception, which we suggest may be related to separate processing of sulfides either in the vapor or during core formation. (C) 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
ISSN: 0016-7037

hal-00408304
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00408304
DOI : 10.1016/j.gca.2007.06.049

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Résumé : International audience
The Tian Shan Mountains constitute central Asia's longest and highest mountain range. Understanding their Cenozoic uplift history thus bears on mountain building processes in general, and on how deformation has occurred under the influence of the India-Asia collision in particular. In order to help decipher the uplift history of the Tian Shan, we collected 970 samples for magnetostratigraphic analysis along a 4571-m-thick section at the Jingou River (Xinjiang Province, China). Stepwise alternating field and thermal demagnetization isolate a linear magnetization component that is interpreted as primary. From this component, a magnetostratigraphic column composed of 67 polarity chrons are correlated with the reference geomagnetic polarity timescale between ~1 Ma and ~23.6 Ma, with some uncertainty below ~21 Ma. This correlation places precise temporal control on the Neogene stratigraphy of the southern Junggar Basin and provides evidence for two significant stepwise increases in sediment accumulation rate at ~16–15 Ma and ~11–10 Ma. Rock magnetic parameters also undergo important changes at ~16–15 Ma and ~11–10 Ma that correlate with changes in sedimentary depositional environments. Together with previous work, we conclude that growth history of the modern Tian Shan Mountains includes two pulses of uplift and erosion at ~16–15 Ma and ~11–10 Ma. Middle to upper Tertiary rocks around the Tian Shan record very young (<~5 Ma) counterclockwise paleomagnetic rotations, on the order of 15° to 20°, which are interpreted as because of strain partitioning with a component of sinistral shear that localized rotations in the piedmont.
ISSN: 0278-7407

insu-00376345
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00376345
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00376345/document
https://hal-insu.archives-ouvertes.fr/insu-00376345/file/2007TC002137.pdf
DOI : 10.1029/2007TC002137

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD European Geosciences Union (EGU)
Résumé : International audience
Storms and tsunamis, which may seriously endanger human society, are amongst the most devastating marine catastrophes that can occur in coastal areas. Many such events are known and have been reported for the Mediterranean, a region where high-frequency occurrences of these extreme events coincides with some of the most densely populated coastal areas in the world. In a sediment core from the Mar Menor (SE Spain), we discovered eight coarse-grained layers which document marine incursions during periods of intense storm activity or tsunami events. Based on radiocarbon dating, these extreme events occurred around 5250, 4000, 3600, 3010, 2300, 1350, 650, and 80 years cal BP. No comparable events have been observed during the 20th and 21st centuries. The results indicate little likelihood of a tsunami origin for these coarse-grained layers, although historical tsunami events are recorded in this region. These periods of surge events seem to coincide with the coldest periods in Europe during the late Holocene, suggesting a control by a climatic mechanism for periods of increased storm activity. Spectral analyses performed on the sand percentage revealed four major periodicities of 1228 ± 327, 732 ± 80, 562 ± 58, and 319 ± 16 years. Amongst the well-known proxies that have revealed a millennial-scale climate variability during the Holocene, the ice-rafted debris (IRD) indices in the North Atlantic developed by Bond et al. (1997, 2001) present a cyclicity of 1470 ± 500 years, which matches the 1228 ± 327-year periodicity evidenced in the Mar Menor, considering the respective uncertainties in the periodicities. Thus, an in-phase storm activity in the western Mediterranean is found with the coldest periods in Europe and with the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation. However, further investigations, such as additional coring and high-resolution coastal imagery, are needed to better constrain the main cause of these multiple events.
ISSN: 1814-9324

hal-01357199
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01357199
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01357199v2/document
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01357199/file/cp-12-1389-2016.pdf
DOI : 10.5194/cp-12-1389-2016

Résumé : Les forêts tropicales contiennent dans leur biomasse aérienne un stock de carbone important à l’échelle de la planète. Mesurer ce stock et comprendre son fonctionnement permet de mieux saisir les enjeux liés à sa protection, sa destruction ou sa modification, ainsi que son rôle dans le cycle du carbone et les mécanismes climatiques globaux. Dans le cadre des problématiques économiques et écologiques liés au climat, les forêts sont progressivement prises en compte dans les programmes internationaux de mesures visant à réduire l’impact anthropique sur le climat (Protocole de Kyoto, 1998 ; Accord de Copenhague, 2009). L’intégration des forêts dans les mécanismes financiers liés au marché du carbone est clairement envisagée dans les années à venir (marché de carbone « d’origine forestière »).L’estimation de la biomasse aérienne d’une parcelle de forêt inventoriée nécessite l’utilisation successive de plusieurs modèles. Dans ces parcelles, le diamètre et l’espèce de chaque arbre sont renseignés. Ensuite, ces parcelles sont utilisées comme références pour l’extrapolation spatiale des valeurs de biomasse. Cette extrapolation repose souvent sur le traitement de signaux aériens (avions, satellites). Il est aussi possible d’utiliser covariables environnementales (climat, géologie, …).L’incertitude associée à l’estimation de la biomasse d’une région est le résultat de toutes les incertitudes associées à ces différents processus. Les connaissances actuelles ne nous permettent pas de quantifier cette incertitude. L’objectif de la thèse est de développer une méthodologie d’estimation de la biomasse qui permette la propagation des incertitudes ainsi que l’identification des sources de cette incertitude.Modèle de hauteur : Nous proposons un nouveau modèle de hauteur pour les forêts tropicales. Les paramètres de ce modèle ont un sens écologique et peuvent être prédits par des variables décrivant le peuplement sur lequel il est appliqué. Nous avons utilisé les données des projets Amalin et Bridge et sélectionné 42 parcelles réparties en Guyane dans lesquelles le diamètre et la hauteur de chaque arbre ont été mesurés.Modèle de densité de bois : Un modèle à été conçu pour associer à chaque espèce une distribution de densité de bois et non une valeur fixe. Nous avons utilisé les données du projet Bridge dans lequel la densité de bois a été mesurée sur 2504 arbres représentant 466 espèces.Modèle de biomasse: Nous avons montré par une analyse de sensibilité que les incertitudes des prédictions de hauteur et de densité de bois n’avaient qu’une part négligeable dans l’incertitude des prédictions de biomasse. L’amélioration de la précision de ces modèles n’est donc pas une priorité. En revanche, le modèle de hauteur peut être une source de biais.Modélisation spatiale : Les modèles développés ont été appliqués à différents réseaux de parcelles couvrant bien la zone littorale guyanaise : inventaires papetiers de l’ONF, réseau Guyafor, projet Amalin… Les prédictions de biomasse de ces parcelles sont utilisées dans un modèle spatiale. Nous produisons ainsi une carte de biomasse guyanaise associée à une carte de l’incertitude de cette estimation.
Tropical forest yield and important part of the aerial vegetation carbon stock on earth. Measuring and understanding this stock distribution is crucial for the management of the tropical forests facing the actual environmental challenges (REDD+, carbon market).Aerial Biomass estimation of forest census plots requires few models depending on the precision of the inventory: diameter models, height models, wood density models. Spatial extrapolation between census plots relies on aerial data (satellite measurements, images) or ground-based data (geology, altitude).The uncertainty of the estimation of a region’s biomass is the result of the uncertainty brought by all these models. The aim of the thesis is to develop models and methods to estimate the biomass of a region while propagating the uncertainties. This is applied to the neo-tropical forest of French Guiana (South America, Guianas Plateau).

http://www.theses.fr/2012AGUY0567/document

Résumé : Bycatch of marine turtles, vulnerable or endangered species, is a growing issue of all fisheries, including Oceanic purse-seine fishery. The present paper seeks to assess marine turtle bycatch at a spatial and temporal level in the European purse seine fishery operating in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans. The study was based on data collected through French and Spanish observer programs from 1995 to 2011, a period where more than 230 000 fishing sets were realized by the UE fleets in both Oceans. A total of 15 913 fishing sets were observed, including 6 515 on drifting Fish Aggregate Devices (FAD) and 9 398 on Free Swimming Schools (FSC). Over the study period, 597 turtles were caught, 86% being released alive at sea. At the same time, from 2003 to 2011, 14 124 specific observations were carried out on floating objects whether they ended in a set or not. 354 marine turtles were observed upon which 80% were already free or entangled alive and therefore released alive. At the temporal and spatial level, data were organized and analysed by Ocean, fishing mode (FAD vs. FSC) as well as by year, quarter and statistical square of 1°. In order to evaluate the impact if this fishery in both Oceans, bycatch distribution was compared to the total fishing effort of the UE fleet, as well as to the known marine turtle post nesting migration routes, nesting population abundances and known feeding areas. The species composition, the size and sex structure of bycatch are also discussed here. At last, an attempt to raise the data to the total fishing effort was carried out. Based on observation of marine turtle by-catches on sets, we estimated that, globally, 3500 marine turtles were accidentally captured by the EU-PS fleet in the Atlantic Ocean from 1995 to 2010, and around 2000 in the Indian Ocean from 2003 to 2010, with a corresponding annual bycatch rate of 218 (SD=150; survival rate =91%) and 250 (SD=157; survival rate =77%) respectively in the Atlantic and Indian Ocean. However, because of important uncertainties mainly due to the low observation coverage and the scarcity of marine turtle bycatch events, it was impossible to produce solid and reliable global estimates of marine turtle bycatch and mortality due to PS activity.

Droits : 2012 IOTC
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00149/25991/24087.pdf
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00149/25991/

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD Elsevier
Résumé : International audience
We show how to introduce the Value at Risk (VaR) concept in the analysis of the adaptation of the shape of a soft bed to a flow knowing the Probability Density Function (PDF) of the responses of the shape to flow perturbations (bed receptivity). Our aim is to quantify our confidence on simulation scenarios by an available morphodynamic model for the shape. The approach permits to perform this task at low complexity as it does not require any sampling of the bed receptivity parameter space. The paper goes beyond stationarity for the variability of the bed receptivity by linking its dynamics to the bottom morphodynamics through an original transport equation for the local bed receptivity standard deviation. The approach has been applied to the analysis of bed morphodynamics based on minimization principles. The results show the importance of including uncertainty information during the coupling and not only eventually through simple margins on the results.
ISSN: 0045-7930

hal-01054937
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01054937
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01054937/document
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01054937/file/paper_var_litto.pdf
DOI : 10.1016/j.compfluid.2013.10.021

Éditeur(s) : HAL CCSD BioMed Central
Résumé : International audience
Background: Two antifibrotic drugs, pirfenidone and nintedanib, are approved by the European Medicines Agency and the US Food and Drug Administration for the treatment of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). In this analysis, treatment patterns of European patients with IPF were investigated to understand antifibrotic prescribing and identify unmet needs in IPF treatment practice. Methods: Between February and March 2016, respiratory physicians from France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the UK participated in an online questionnaire designed to collect information on IPF treatment patterns in patients under their care. Patients were categorized as treated (received approved antifibrotics) or untreated (did not receive approved antifibrotics, but may have received other unapproved therapies). Classification of IPF diagnosis (confirmed/suspected) and severity ('mild'/'moderate'/'severe') for each patient was based on the individual physician's report. Patients' perspectives were not recorded in this study. Results: In total, 290 physicians responded to the questionnaire. Overall, 54% of patients with IPF did not receive treatment with an approved antifibrotic. More patients had a confirmed IPF diagnosis in the treated (84%) versus the untreated (51%) population. Of patients with a confirmed diagnosis, 40% did not receive treatment. The treated population was younger than the untreated population (67 vs 70 years, respectively; p = 0.01), with more frequent multidisciplinary team evaluation (83% vs 57%, respectively; p = 0.01). A higher proportion of untreated patients had forced vital capacity > 80% at diagnosis versus treated patients. Of patients with 'mild' IPF, 71% did not receive an approved antifibrotic versus 41% and 60% of patients with 'moderate' and 'severe' IPF, respectively. Conclusions: Despite the availability of antifibrotic therapies, many European patients with confirmed IPF do not receive approved antifibrotic treatment. Importantly, there appears to be a reluctance to treat patients with 'mild' or 'stable' disease, and instead adopt a 'watch and wait' approach. More education is required to address diagnostic uncertainty, poor understanding of IPF and its treatments, and issues of treatment access. There is a need to increase physician awareness of the benefits associated with antifibrotic treatment across the spectrum of IPF severity.
ISSN: 1471-2466

hal-01616061
https://hal-univ-rennes1.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01616061
DOI : 10.1186/s12890-017-0468-5
PUBMED : 28915874

Éditeur(s) : Elsevier Science Bv
Résumé : Academia and management agencies show a growing interest for ecosystem-based fishery management (EBFM). However, the way to operationalize this approach remains challenging. The present paper illustrates how the concepts of stochastic co-viability, which accounts for dynamic complexities, uncertainties, risk and sustainability constraints, can be useful for the implementation of EBFM. In the present case, this concept is used to identify fishing strategies that satisfy both ecological conservation and economic sustainability in a multi-species, multi-fleet context. Economic Viability Analysis (EVA) and the broader Co-Viability Analysis (CVA), are proposed to expand the usual Population Viability Analysis (PVA) and precautionary approach. An illustration is proposed, using data on the fisheries of Bay of Biscay (France) exploiting the stocks of nephrops and hake. Stochastic simulations show how CVA can guarantee both ecological (stock) and economic (profit) sustainability. Using 2008 as a baseline, the model is used to identify fishing efforts that ensure such co-viability. (C) 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Ecological Economics (0921-8009) (Elsevier Science Bv), 2012-03 , Vol. 75 , P. 32-42

Droits : 2012 Elsevier Science Bv
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00074/18571/16153.pdf
DOI:10.1016/j.ecolecon.2012.01.005
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00074/18571/

Éditeur(s) : Oxford Univ Press
Résumé : Biological reference points are important tools for fisheries management. Reference points are not static, butmay change when a population's environment or the population itself changes. Fisheries-induced evolution is one mechanism that can alter population characteristics, leading to "shifting" reference points by modifying the underlying biological processes or by changing the perception of a fishery system. The former causes changes in "true" reference points, whereas the latter is caused by changes in the yardsticks used to quantify a system's status. Unaccounted shifts of either kind imply that reference points gradually lose their intended meaning. This can lead to increased precaution, which is safe, but potentially costly. Shifts can also occur in more perilous directions, such that actual risks are greater than anticipated. Our qualitative analysis suggests that all commonly used reference points are susceptible to shifting through fisheries-induced evolution, including the limit and "precautionary" reference points for spawning-stock biomass, B-lim and B-pa, and the target reference point for fishing mortality, F-0.1. Our findings call for increased awareness of fisheries-induced changes and highlight the value of always basing reference points on adequately updated information, to capture all changes in the biological processes that drive fish population dynamics.
Ices Journal Of Marine Science (1054-3139) (Oxford Univ Press), 2013-07 , Vol. 70 , N. 4 , P. 707-721

Droits : 2013 International Council for the Exploration of the Sea. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00151/26228/24302.pdf
DOI:10.1093/icesjms/fst077
http://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00151/26228/

Éditeur(s) : Université des Antilles Études caribéennes
Résumé : L’expérience professionnelle à l’étranger peut constituer l’occasion d’une véritable immersion dans le pays et dans la vie quotidienne de ses voisins, collègues, parfois amis, en échappant à la situation « hors-sol » du touriste.Elle semble permettre à l’individu d’occuper une place singulière en n’étant ni étranger ni autochtone, lui donnant accès à des rapports plus égalitaires que le touriste (au moins en impression) avec la population locale ; à la participation à la vie locale ; à une utilité intégrée. Elle offre ainsi la possibilité de réduire la distance avec « l’autre en tant qu’autre », non seulement par le temps passé sur place, mais encore par une plus grande horizontalité avec les habitants.Nous proposons ici d’envisager cette expérience dans sa dimension initiatique, en particulier chez les jeunes pour lesquels c’est une occasion de partir en dehors du cadre touristique, qui peut faire office d’entrée dans l’âge adulte, de plonger dans un univers d’autonomie et d’incertitude. Celui qui part doit affronter un certain nombre d’épreuves, dont il sortira changé.Partant des analyses de J. Campbell sur les trois temps de l’initiation (avant - pendant — après), l’interprétation réclame l’étape du retour en même temps que le retour sur l’expérience. Il s’agit d’une recherche en cours reposant sur une collecte d’entretiens.
Professional experience abroad can be an occasion for being truly immersed in the country, in the life of one’s colleague, sometimes friends, in avoiding the traditional tourist framework.It seems to allow having a peculiar place without the feeling of being a total foreigner neither a local. Allowing a closer relationship with the locals (at least giving that impression). Taking part in the daily life and feeling deeply useful. It offers the possibility to reduce the distance with the “other” as “another” thanks to the time spent on site but also with an improved relationship with the inhabitants.We suggest exploring this experience in its learning aspect, specifically amongst young people. It is an occasion to get out of the usual tourist framework and get fully immersed in autonomy and uncertainty. Upon leaving and trying out this experience one will face challenges which will change him or her forever.Taking the three different analysis from J. Campbell on the three initiating steps (before, during and after the stay) the interpretation requires the return stage as well as the feedback on the experience, providing a collection of interviews.

Droits : info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
urn:doi:10.4000/etudescaribeennes.11347
http://journals.openedition.org/etudescaribeennes/11347